Fever BaseballFor collectors and stat nerdsFuture Value Radar (FVR) · On the record
Blue Notes · Umpire Grade2026-03-26

MIN @ BAL

Home plate: Laz Diaz

The zone had wings tonight.

C+
Umpire Grade
90.9% accurate
0.8
Run Favor
runs, BAL
3
ABS Overturns
of 5 reviewed

What this shows — how Laz Diaz called the 121 pitches that were taken (no swing), graded against the tracked rulebook strike zone. He got 110 right. Below, only his misses are plotted, alongside every pitch the ABS (Automated Ball-Strike System) reviewed on a challenge.

The zone, as he called it

Challenge 1: Matt Wallner — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled ball (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).1Challenge 2: Josh Bell — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled ball (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).2Challenge 3: Samuel Basallo — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled strike (upheld — ump confirmed).3Challenge 4: Ryan Jeffers — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled ball (upheld — ump confirmed).4Challenge 5: Ryan Jeffers — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled ball (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).5
strike called ballball called strikeABS overturnedABS upheld

The calls that moved the game

  1. 1-0.307 · 3-1 ball called strike
    Victor Caratini vs Trevor Rogers
  2. 2+0.232 · 0-2 strike called ball
    Josh Bell vs Trevor Rogers
  3. 3-0.238 · 0-2 ball called strike· challenged
    Ryan Jeffers vs Tyler Wells

Run impact from the count run-value table: a missed strike three is worth far more than one on 3-0.

ABS — the Automated Ball-Strike System

5 pitches went to the robots · 3 overturned (ump overruled) · 2 upheld (ump confirmed). This is the ABS system’s own measurement — Hawk-Eye optical ball-tracking, not our model.

  1. 1Matt Wallner — ump said strike, robot ruled ball: overturned.
  2. 2Josh Bell — ump said strike, robot ruled ball: overturned.
  3. 3Samuel Basallo — ump said strike, robot ruled strike: upheld.
  4. 4Ryan Jeffers — ump said ball, robot ruled ball: upheld.
  5. 5Ryan Jeffers — ump said strike, robot ruled ball: overturned.

Our tracked-rulebook zone matched the ABS ruling on 5 of 5 — a zone-definition gap (ABS grades a standardized, height-based zone), not our error.

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