Call C0015 · filed 2026-07-27 · resolved August 27, 2026
Ke'Bryan Hayes — RESOLVED: MISS
We're saying the luck turns: his results on contact climb at least +0.022 over the filing baseline by August 26. Call it a 22-point jump — points, the same way an average moves. The bat has already earned it — the stat line pays up, or we take the miss.
31 days on the clock · every call timestamped · misses kept
The record now stands 3 HIT · 4 MISS · 9 OPEN
Also resolved: C0012 — Eduardo Rodriguez — MISS
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★ C0015 — Ke'Bryan Hayes — RESOLVED: MISS ★
Next resolution: August 27, 2026 · 0 days
The engine rebuilds every night · boards through
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The Buzz ·
The strangest number on the board Wednesday was .066 — a man hitting .066, pinch-hitting in the ninth, lining a ball at 103 mph off the bat to win a game the Dodgers had just handed him. Five names, and under each, whether the moment outlasts the morning.
Fever Report No. 019 ·
Merrill Kelly is one strikeout from 1,000. The crowd sees a milestone. The season says something harder.
The Seam ·
One night in August, a Triple-A infielder hit the hardest and longest home run of his season, and almost nobody noticed — because the next night he went 6-for-6 and everybody did. Feverbaseball's engine watched both nights, and the season before them, and it keeps a different set of books. This is what the books say.
Every game, kept mark for mark — reconciled to the official line or the card doesn’t print. Score one live, print one for the park, or learn the notation.
+ 7 more from that slate · the same games, dealt out by arm →
The Line of the Day · Wed, Aug 26 · night game
2B · Colorado Rockies
2-4, HR, 5 RBI, 1 BB
COL 13 won WSH 1At-bat by at-bat
Red = home run · Teal = hit · Dots = RBI
Five RBI on two hits. That was Connor Norby's line in Colorado's 13-1 win over the Nationals last night. His 7th-inning homer: 402 feet, 102.4 mph off the bat, on a 94.3 mph cutter. He also walked in the 5th and didn't strike out.
Signature swing: 402 ft · 102.4 mph off the bat · on a 94.3 mph cutter
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The other card we keep: the home-plate umpire, graded against the rulebook zone, and what each missed call was worth.
The Overnight · August 26, 2026
Eduardo Rodriguez★ (AZ) — 7.0 IP, 0 ER, 9 K, 3 BB +3.52
Charlie Condon (ABQ) — 2-for-4, 2B, HBP, K +2.60
Tristan Peters★ (CWS) — 3-for-4, HR, 2B, 2 RBI +2.45
The career numbers in reach this season — how many to go, and the date our pace says it falls. The ones that already landed keep their own page.
The Chase · through August 26, 2026
3 TO GO Aroldis Chapman★ (BOS) — 400 career saves · our pace: ≈ September 10, 2026
7 TO GO Kenley Jansen (DET) — 500 career saves · our pace: ≈ October 28, 2026
1 TO GO Merrill Kelly (AZ) — 1,000 career strikeouts · our pace: ≈ August 28, 2026
2 TO GO Xander Bogaerts (SD) — 1,000 career runs scored · our pace: ≈ September 1, 2026
This is a call, in full, as it was filed. It has not been touched since. In 0 days a machine grades it, and whichever way it lands, it stays on the record.
Call C0008 · filed 2026-07-13 06:18 UTC
We're saying the results give it back: value on contact falls at least 0.017 from the filing baseline by August 27 — 17 points, handed back. The bat never supported the stat line; gravity does the rest — or we take the miss.
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Four boards, one engine: who’s about to get better, who’s about to give it back, and — at Triple-A, bats and arms — who nobody is talking about yet.
The Drift · August 25, 2026 → August 26, 2026
▲4 Tristan Peters★ (CWS) · MLB Fade Board 10→6 · Luck gap +0.009
▲3 Mike Trout★ (LAA) · MLB Breakout Board 19→16 · Overlay +0.017
▲2 Alika Williams (ATH) · MLB Fade Board 6→4 · Luck gap +0.008
▼2 Jonny DeLuca (TB) · MLB Fade Board 5→7 · Luck gap -0.002
▼2 Bobby Witt Jr.★ (KC) · MLB Breakout Board 16→18 · Overlay -0.014
Color is the engine’s read, not the arrow’s direction — slipping down the Fade board is good news.
Contact quality outrunning results.
The 27-and-under cut · board rank shown
Results outrunning contact quality.
AAA tools before the prospect lists.
The Card Back · No. 47
Today’s mystery player: 3 guesses, the whole deck, same card for everyone. Streaks live in your browser.
1
Validated on 11 seasons of public play-by-play, then confirmed on a pre-registered out-of-sample holdout — protocol frozen before we looked.
2
Every call is filed with a metric, a threshold, a window, and a timestamp. Falsifiable by design. Nothing is edited after filing.
3
When the window closes, the call resolves by computation — hit or miss — and the running record stays public. Misses included.
The same engine, one level down. MLB's feed tracks every pitch in every Triple-A park, so the prospects on our boards get real cards too — kept in their own archive, never ranked against the majors.
When one inning is worth an article, it gets one — written up and filed over the card it happened on.
Any game on today's slate, kept pitch by pitch in your own browser — at the card's permanent address. The reconciled card takes over the same page overnight.
The other card we keep: the home-plate umpire, graded against the rulebook zone, and what each missed call was worth.
The hitting line worth stopping on, told over its scorecard — the box, every at-bat in order, the swing that made the night.
The same reconciled game dealt out by the arm that threw it — every batter he faced, every pitch, in order.
The Sunday Digest: what moved this week, every call’s countdown, the Chase, the Wire. Or go daily with The Overnight — last night’s baseball, graded, every morning. Free.
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Every post, with the linksRE24 corr 0.975 with FanGraphs · pre-registered holdout n=721 · 16 calls filed · methodology public
