William Contreras

The Chase

6 HR from 100 — MLB projected June 26, 2026; passed (stalled) Follow the chase →

Scout’s note

Contreras signed out of Puerto Cabello, Venezuela and owns a career .274 average with 94 home runs across 688 big-league games. He's in our Index — tracked, not flagged. The boards bet on mispricing, and right now his account with reality is square.

Current signals

The read: Contreras is tracked, not flagged: an EV95 of 108.4 (79th percentile of the 306 qualified hitters we grade) with results within 0.026 of what the physics support — nothing owed, nothing borrowed. The boards hunt mispricing, and his price is right. He sits No. 74 of 306 on the breakout composite; the board takes 20.

EV95 (mph)

108.36

Luck gap (park-adj)

-0.0258

Overlay score

0.3803

WAR (season · MLB calc)

1.6

Balls in play

295

Age

28

Collect William Contreras

If the signal is right, the cardboard usually finds out later. Current listings:

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Not financial advice. We take positions only after publication — never before. Misses stay on the record.