Fever BaseballFor collectors and stat nerdsFuture Value Radar (FVR) · On the record
Blue Notes · Umpire Grade2026-06-24

HOU @ TOR

Home plate: Chad Whitson

Corner-to-corner and then some.

B-
Umpire Grade
91.6% accurate
0.2
Run Favor
runs, TOR
2
ABS Overturns
of 5 reviewed

What this shows — how Chad Whitson called the 154 pitches that were taken (no swing), graded against the tracked rulebook strike zone. He got 141 right. Below, only his misses are plotted, alongside every pitch the ABS (Automated Ball-Strike System) reviewed on a challenge.

The zone, as he called it

Challenge 1: George Springer — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled strike (upheld — ump confirmed).1Challenge 2: Alejandro Kirk — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled strike (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).2Challenge 3: Alejandro Kirk — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled strike (upheld — ump confirmed).3Challenge 4: Yainer Diaz — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled ball (upheld — ump confirmed).4Challenge 5: Yainer Diaz — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled strike (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).5
strike called ballball called strikeABS overturnedABS upheld

The calls that moved the game

  1. 1-0.394 · 2-2 ball called strike
    Brice Matthews vs Trey Yesavage
  2. 2+0.288 · 1-2 strike called ball
    Luis Urías vs Bryan King
  3. 3+0.289 · 1-2 strike called ball· challenged
    Daulton Varsho vs Josh Hader

Run impact from the count run-value table: a missed strike three is worth far more than one on 3-0.

ABS — the Automated Ball-Strike System

5 pitches went to the robots · 2 overturned (ump overruled) · 3 upheld (ump confirmed). This is the ABS system’s own measurement — Hawk-Eye optical ball-tracking, not our model.

  1. 1George Springer — ump said strike, robot ruled strike: upheld.
  2. 2Alejandro Kirk — ump said ball, robot ruled strike: overturned.
  3. 3Alejandro Kirk — ump said strike, robot ruled strike: upheld.
  4. 4Yainer Diaz — ump said ball, robot ruled ball: upheld.
  5. 5Yainer Diaz — ump said ball, robot ruled strike: overturned.

Our tracked-rulebook zone matched the ABS ruling on 5 of 5 — a zone-definition gap (ABS grades a standardized, height-based zone), not our error.

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