Fever BaseballFuture Value Radar (FVR) · On the record
RECORD: 0 HIT · 0 MISS · 12 OPEN · FIRST CALL RESOLVES AUG 12
Blue Notes · Umpire Grade2026-04-29

NYY @ TEX

Home plate: Tyler Jones

The zone kept its promises.

A
Umpire Grade
95.2% accurate
0.2
Run Favor
runs, NYY
2
ABS Overturns
of 5 reviewed

What this shows — how Tyler Jones called the 146 pitches that were taken (no swing), graded against the tracked rulebook strike zone. He got 139 right. Below, only his misses are plotted, alongside every pitch the ABS (Automated Ball-Strike System) reviewed on a challenge.

The zone, as he called it

Challenge 1: Cody Bellinger — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled strike (upheld — ump confirmed).1Challenge 2: Josh Jung — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled strike (upheld — ump confirmed).2Challenge 3: J.C. Escarra — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled ball (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).3Challenge 4: Corey Seager — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled strike (upheld — ump confirmed).4Challenge 5: J.C. Escarra — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled ball (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).5
strike called ballball called strikeABS overturnedABS upheld

The calls that moved the game

  1. 1+0.231 · 0-2 strike called ball
    Cody Bellinger vs Nathan Eovaldi
  2. 2+0.135 · 1-1 strike called ball
    Corey Seager vs Brent Headrick
  3. 3-0.108 · 0-1 ball called strike
    Evan Carter vs Fernando Cruz

Run impact from the count run-value table: a missed strike three is worth far more than one on 3-0.

ABS — the Automated Ball-Strike System

5 pitches went to the robots · 2 overturned (ump overruled) · 3 upheld (ump confirmed). This is Hawkeye ground truth, no model involved.

  1. 1Cody Bellinger — ump said strike, robot ruled strike: upheld.
  2. 2Josh Jung — ump said strike, robot ruled strike: upheld.
  3. 3J.C. Escarra — ump said strike, robot ruled ball: overturned.
  4. 4Corey Seager — ump said strike, robot ruled strike: upheld.
  5. 5J.C. Escarra — ump said strike, robot ruled ball: overturned.

Our tracked-rulebook zone matched the ABS ruling on 3 of 5 — a zone-definition gap (ABS grades a standardized, height-based zone), not our error.