Fever BaseballFor collectors and stat nerdsFuture Value Radar (FVR) · On the record
NYY

New York Yankees

American League · American League East · Yankee Stadium

Umpire favor

+36.5 net runs over 166 graded games — the zone was kind to the club on balance.

Biggest swings: +2.0 vs MIA · +1.9 vs CWS

→ all umpire grades

The season ahead

The 2026 season is over for the New York Yankees. Their next game is on Opening Day, March 25, 2027.

On the radar

What the market seesWhat the engine sees
PlayerPosAgeResultsSampleBoardSignal
Aaron JudgeRF34OPS .87166 GBREAKOUTEV95 110.8
Cam Schlittler★P25ERA 1.95193.2 IPINDEX—
Jazz Chisholm Jr.2B28OPS .711137 GINDEXEV95 106.13
David BednarP32ERA 2.4769.1 IPINDEX—
Ben Rice★DH27OPS .897154 GINDEXEV95 107.4
José CaballeroSS30OPS .655136 GINDEXEV95 103.7
Cody Bellinger★LF31OPS .767132 GINDEXEV95 104.1
George Lombard Jr.SS21OPS .69942 GINDEXEV95 107.1

Left of the rule is the league’s own line on the player — his results, not our numbers, and never an input to any FVR signal. Right of it is what the engine measures.

The Card Pulse

What the collector market pays for this roster — movers first. A rising price is demand, not our read on the player. The full board →

Paid link — as an eBay Partner, FVR earns from qualifying purchases.

Grade B · #6 of 30Heat ▲ 10.1%Value $77.10 avg
Cam SchlittlerRCCam Schlittler #UR-2
▲ 317.6%$154Find this card →
Spencer JonesSpencer Jones #PA-SJ
▲ 26.5%$209Find this card →
George Lombard Jr.George Lombard Jr. #PP-17
▲ 20.5%$75.00Find this card →
Austin WellsRCAustin Wells #RA-AW
▼ 14.2%$53.99Find this card →
Cam SchlittlerCam Schlittler [Mojo] #53
▲ 8.7%$47.44Find this card →
Austin WellsAustin Wells [Gold] #220
▼ 8.5%$35.34Find this card →
Cody BellingerRCCody Bellinger #79
▼ 8%$23.00Find this card →
Aaron JudgeAaron Judge #ES-15
▲ 7.1%$45.00Find this card →
Ben RiceBen Rice #311
▲ 6.5%$50.42Find this card →
Aaron JudgeRCAaron Judge #32
Jazz Chisholm Jr.Jazz Chisholm Jr. #ATT-3
▲ 2.8%$35.25Find this card →
José CaballeroJose Caballero [Gold] #88
▲ 2.7%$39.73Find this card →
Cody BellingerCody Bellinger #HA-13
▼ 1.7%$180Find this card →
Luis García Jr.Luis Garcia Jr. #OD-196
▼ 0.3%$44.22Find this card →
David BednarRCDavid Bednar #531
▲ 0.3%$32.34Find this card →
Jazz Chisholm Jr.RCJazz Chisholm Jr. #665
▲ 0.1%$28.63Find this card →
Ben RiceRCBen Rice #139
Gerrit ColeGerrit Cole #HA-33
Spencer JonesRCSpencer Jones #BCP-178
▲ 0%$80.00Find this card →
José CaballeroRCJose Caballero #AC-JCA
▲ 0%$57.50Find this card →
David BednarDavid Bednar #228
▲ 0%$35.40Find this card →
Gerrit ColeRCGerrit Cole #US265
▲ 0%$27.99Find this card →
Carlos RodónRCCarlos Rodon #BCP150
▲ 0%$25.08Find this card →
Carlos RodónCarlos Rodón #261
Brendan BeckRCBrendan Beck #CDA-BB
Elmer RodríguezRCElmer Rodriguez-Cruz #BTP-98
Brendan BeckBrendan Beck #PDP55
Elmer RodríguezElmer Rodriguez [Status] #111

What they pay

A market fact, not an engine read — and the club’s own row from the payroll board, computed once so the two pages cannot disagree.

vs the tax line
−$33.7Mover
MP/MW
$4.70M20 of 30 — 1 is cheapest

PROPOSED Above the cap the owners proposed on 2026-07-21. A proposal out of a negotiation that has not happened, not a rule. The line in force is the $247M tax threshold above.

The five biggest commitments this season

  • Cody Bellinger$42.5M
  • Aaron Judge$40.0M
  • Gerrit Cole$36.0M
  • Giancarlo Stanton$29.0M
  • Carlos Rodón$27.8M

Cash is what the club pays out; the tax payroll is average annual values under the CBA’s own rulebook. Two answers to one question, never subtracted from one another. Figures from Cot’s.

A second set of books

The numbers above are Cot’s. These are MLB Spreadsheets’s, and they answer two questions Cot’s cannot: what this payroll is made of, and where it has moved since Opening Day. We keep both sources rather than merging them, because the only thing that catches an error in one is the other.

Where the two sources disagree

  • On cash payroll, Cot’s reads $243.9M and MLB Spreadsheets reads $304.9M — $60.9M apart.
  • On tax payroll, Cot’s reads $280.7M and MLB Spreadsheets reads $341.7M — $61.0M apart.

Both are reputable and neither is wrong on its own terms. A gap on sheets a month apart is one source catching up; a gap on sheets a few days apart is a real disagreement about what a club is paying, and nobody prints those. We do not average them, and every figure on this site says which source it came from.

Since Opening Day

Cash payroll
$303.0M → $304.9M +$1.8M
Tax payroll
$339.8M → $341.7M +$1.9M

A move is not a verdict. Adding payroll is not virtue and cutting it is not vice, so nothing here is colored — the sign is the whole fact. And a move in dollars is not a payroll in dollars: we never compare one to the other.

Where the money goes

Cash payroll

$304.9M

The bar divides the $316.4M this club pays out. It takes $11.5M back in — cash in trades — which is what brings the cash payroll to $304.9M.

Tax payroll

$341.7M

The bar divides the $346.0M this club pays out. It takes $4.3M back in — cash in trades — which is what brings the tax payroll to $341.7M.

LineCashTax
Players on the rosterSalary to the men actually playing, majors and minors.$281.4M$304.4M
Major-league salary$276.4M$299.3M
Minor-league salary$5.1M$5.1M
Players who are goneSalary buying this club no player at all.$15.5M$15.5M
Termination pay$15.0M$15.0M
Outright assignments$0.5M$0.5M
BonusesSigning bonuses charged against this season, buyouts of options declined, and bonuses already earned.$19.4M$0.1M
Signing bonuses (prorated)$13.3M—
Option buyouts$6.0M—
Performance and award bonuses$0.1M$0.1M
Cash in tradesMoney sent out with a player traded away, or taken in — a negative figure — to absorb someone else's contract.−$11.5M−$4.3M
League chargesThe same for all thirty clubs — no front office decided to spend this.—$20.2M
Benefits—$18.6M
Pre-arb bonus pool—$1.7M
Adjustments and creditsBookkeeping between the club and the league office.—$5.8M
AAV adjustments—$6.1M
Credits—−$0.3M
Total$304.9M$341.7M

An em dash in one column and a figure in the other is not a missing number — it is the two rulebooks sorting the same money differently. A prorated signing bonus is in the cash figure and already inside the average annual value the tax is assessed on; league charges are the reverse. That is why the two totals differ, and why they are never subtracted from one another.

Composition and Opening Day figures from Ethan Hullihen (@EthanHullihen, MLBSpreadsheets), from a workbook whose oldest relevant sheet is dated . The workbook carries a different date on every tab, so this is the oldest of the ones we read rather than the file’s own. Every line above was checked to sum to the club’s stated total before it was printed.

Down on the farm

Organization prospects on our Triple-A boards.

What the market seesWhat the engine sees
PlayerPosAgeClubResultsSampleBoardSignal
Spencer JonesCF25New York YankeesOPS .74286 G · MLBTRIPLE-AEV95 112.56
Brendan Beck☆P28New York YankeesERA 2.93135.1 IPINDEXStuff -0.2193
Elmer Rodríguez☆P23New York YankeesERA 2.45106.1 IPINDEXStuff -0.0175

Left of the rule is the league’s own line on the player — his results, not our numbers, and never an input to any FVR signal. Right of it is what the engine measures.

Follow the Yankees

The Yankees, in your inbox — every game scored mark for mark, the morning after they play. Every number reconciled to the official line, or the card doesn’t print. Nothing on off-days.

Collect the Yankees

The organization’s 2026 cardboard, from commons to the high end:

2026 New York Yankees cards on eBay →

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