David Bednar

The Chase

8 SV from 150 — our pace: ≈ October 9, 2026 Follow the chase →

The card rack

FlagshipDavid Bednar #228 · 2026 Topps · 71 recent sales 7N ▼1.1%

$1.24Raw$11.92PSA 9$35.42PSA 10$46.00BGS 10PSA 10 · 45 nights

Live on eBay now · asking, not sold · as of 2026-08-30 · paid links

$0.99Ungraded$1.19Ungraded$1.40Ungraded

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The rookieDavid Bednar #531 · 2020 Topps · 33 recent sales 7N ▲0%

$1.57Raw$20.95PSA 9$32.25PSA 10$42.00BGS 10PSA 10 · 43 nights

Live on eBay now · asking, not sold · as of 2026-08-30 · paid links

$0.99Ungraded$1.25Ungraded$1.25Ungraded

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Paid link — as an eBay Partner, FVR earns from qualifying purchases. · Flagship = his most-traded card (the market’s reference); the rookie = the top card of his first card year. As of August 30, 2026 · trend is FVR's own nightly archive · prices via SportsCardsPro · what these terms mean

Scout’s note

A 35th-round pick out of Pittsburgh in 2016, Bednar is 31 now and has 30 saves for the Yankees with a 2.35 ERA in 57.1 innings. He's in the Index without a board grade — our stuff model hasn't been validated against outcomes yet, so no arm gets flagged from it, even his. The ERA-FIP luck gap did clear our threshold, and that call is filed by hand: the page is here because the player matters, and the grade comes when the science is ready.

Note written Aug 25 · FVR scout (GLM-5.2)

Current signals

The read: Bednar is in the Index ungraded, on purpose: our stuff model is stability-tested but not outcome-validated, so no big-league arm gets a board flag from it — not even one of the best seasons in the sport. (Calls are another matter: the ERA-FIP luck gap did clear the bar, and we file arm regression calls by hand from it.) The page is here because the player matters; the board grade waits for the science.

WAR (season · MLB calc)

1.7

A market fact, not an engine read: what a club decided about him, on the season before this one. Figures from Cot’s, as of August 3, 2026.

2026 salary

$9.00M

Tax hit

$9.00M

Service time

5 yr 73 d

Options left

3 / 3

Cash and the tax hit are two different rulebooks and are never subtracted from one another — see the payroll board for his club, New York Yankees.

A second set of books

The same contract, read by MLB Spreadsheets (Ethan Hullihen), as of August 20, 2026. We keep two sources on this because one source cannot check itself.

Tax AAV

$9.00M

Guaranteed

$9.00M

Term

1 yr

His class

Arb

The tax AAV above is his number under the CBA’s own rulebook, not the average we work out from Cot’s total. On a contract with deferred money the two come apart on purpose — and neither is subtracted from the other.

Collect David Bednar

If the signal is right, the cardboard usually finds out later. Current listings:

High-end listings ($75+) →

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Not financial advice. We take positions only after publication — never before. Misses stay on the record.

The Bureau on David Bednar

The scouting press, in their own words