Fever BaseballFor collectors and stat nerdsFuture Value Radar (FVR) · On the record
Blue Notes · Umpire Grade2026-04-01

TEX @ BAL

Home plate: Manny Gonzalez

Pitchers found a little extra real estate.

C+
Umpire Grade
90.6% accurate
0.8
Run Favor
runs, BAL
4
ABS Overturns
of 5 reviewed

What this shows — how Manny Gonzalez called the 149 pitches that were taken (no swing), graded against the tracked rulebook strike zone. He got 135 right. Below, only his misses are plotted, alongside every pitch the ABS (Automated Ball-Strike System) reviewed on a challenge.

The zone, as he called it

Challenge 1: Wyatt Langford — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled strike (upheld — ump confirmed).1Challenge 2: Coby Mayo — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled ball (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).2Challenge 3: Andrew McCutchen — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled ball (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).3Challenge 4: Pete Alonso — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled ball (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).4Challenge 5: Samuel Basallo — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled strike (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).5
strike called ballball called strikeABS overturnedABS upheld

The calls that moved the game

  1. 1-0.696 · 3-2 ball called strike· challenged
    Andrew McCutchen vs Trevor Rogers
  2. 2+0.289 · 1-2 strike called ball· challenged
    Evan Carter vs Albert Suárez
  3. 3-0.213 · 3-0 ball called strike
    Ezequiel Duran vs Trevor Rogers

Run impact from the count run-value table: a missed strike three is worth far more than one on 3-0.

ABS — the Automated Ball-Strike System

5 pitches went to the robots · 4 overturned (ump overruled) · 1 upheld (ump confirmed). This is the ABS system’s own measurement — Hawk-Eye optical ball-tracking, not our model.

  1. 1Wyatt Langford — ump said strike, robot ruled strike: upheld.
  2. 2Coby Mayo — ump said strike, robot ruled ball: overturned.
  3. 3Andrew McCutchen — ump said strike, robot ruled ball: overturned.
  4. 4Pete Alonso — ump said strike, robot ruled ball: overturned.
  5. 5Samuel Basallo — ump said ball, robot ruled strike: overturned.

Our tracked-rulebook zone matched the ABS ruling on 4 of 5 — a zone-definition gap (ABS grades a standardized, height-based zone), not our error.

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