Fever BaseballFor collectors and stat nerdsFuture Value Radar (FVR) · On the record

MLB · LF · Seattle Mariners

Randy Arozarena

B/T R/R · 5' 10" · 185 lb · born Havana, Cuba · age 31 · played LF 122, DH 4 · MLB debut 2019-08-14

Last 14 days (through 2026-08-28): 12 G · .234 AVG · 4 HR · 6 RBI · .900 OPS

546 plate appearances scored this season His season card →

INDEXThe Index — tracked, not flagged

On the record · career milestone this season

500 career runs scored Sat, Jul 4 · day game vs. Toronto Blue Jays The scorecard → · The write-up →

The Line of the Day

3-4, 2 HR, 3 RBI, 1 BB Sat, Aug 22 · day game vs. Chicago Cubs The scorecard →

The card rack

FlagshipRandy Arozarena [Gold] #431 · 2026 Topps Series 2 · 75 recent sales 7N 4.7%

$1.57Raw$12.57PSA 9$37.53PSA 10$49.00BGS 10PSA 10 · 45 nights

Live on eBay now · asking, not sold · as of 2026-08-28 · paid links

See all on eBay →

The rookieRandy Arozarena #49 · 2020 Topps Chrome · 327 recent sales 7N 8.1%

$1.57Raw$5.00PSA 9$9.63PSA 10$26.01BGS 10PSA 10 · 43 nights

Live on eBay now · asking, not sold · as of 2026-08-28 · paid links

See all on eBay →

Paid link — as an eBay Partner, FVR earns from qualifying purchases. · Flagship = his most-traded card (the market’s reference); the rookie = the top card of his first card year. As of August 28, 2026 · trend is FVR's own nightly archive · prices via SportsCardsPro · what these terms mean

Scout’s note

Arozarena's EV95 sits at 106.66 — 62nd percentile of the 369 qualified bats we track, above the 105.9 median but not far enough to flag. His results are within 0.0234 of what the physics support: nothing owed, nothing borrowed. He sits No. 275 of 369 on the breakout composite, and the board takes 20. Out of Havana, debuted in 2019, now 31 and hitting .275 with 19 home runs in Seattle — a man whose line and his hard contact tell the same story.

We wrote about Arozarena hereThe Buzz August 24, 2026 · August 23, 2026 · The Overnight: 3-for-4, 2 HR, BB, 3 RBI (August 22, 2026) · 500 career runs scored (July 4, 2026) · and 1 more

Current signals

The read: Arozarena is tracked, not flagged: an EV95 of 106.6 (61st percentile of the 375 qualified MLB bats we track; median 105.8) with results within 0.026 of what the physics support — nothing owed, nothing borrowed. The boards hunt mispricing, and his price is right. He sits No. 284 of 375 on the breakout composite; the board takes 20.

SQUAREthe line and the bat agree. Where he sits in the league →

Age
31
The shape of the seasonEV95 108.2 106.7 mphweekly · trailing 75 balls in play · full-season EV95: 106.57 mph — the boards use the season figureEV95 is the top of his range, not the middle — the line can fall in the same weeks his typical contact rises.

Where he stands

through

Against the 375 qualified major-league hitters — 100+ balls in play this season, the same field the boards are chosen out of. Right is better on every row.

  1. EV95106.661
  2. Deserved (xVal)0.39665
  3. Got (aVal)0.41081
  4. Luck gap (park-adjusted)flipped0.02617

today · 30 days ago, against the 330 men who qualified then · the tick is the midpoint · the number at the right is the percentile, the number beside it the measurement itself.

A second set of books

The same contract, read by MLB Spreadsheets (Ethan Hullihen), as of . We keep two sources on this because one source cannot check itself.

Tax AAV
$15.7M
Term
1 yr

What the sheet prices each season at

Season2026
SalaryArb 4

A base salary under his own reading, and never subtracted from the cash figure above: a signing bonus lands in one and not the other, so the two disagree on most men without either being wrong. And the sheet does not mark which future seasons are GUARANTEED — a club option and a projected arbitration award are both just a number here, so read past the end of the deal as his forecast rather than as money owed.

Two sources, read a month apart, put this guarantee at the same dollar. That is the check, and it passed.

The tax AAV above is his number under the CBA’s own rulebook, not the average we work out from Cot’s total. On a contract with deferred money the two come apart on purpose — and neither is subtracted from the other.

Collect Randy Arozarena

If the signal is right, the cardboard usually finds out later. Current listings:

Randy Arozarena cards on eBay →

High-end listings ($75+) →

Paid link — as an eBay Partner, FVR earns from qualifying purchases.

Not financial advice. We take positions only after publication — never before. Misses stay on the record.

The Bureau on Randy Arozarena

The scouting press, in their own words

Sixth consecutive season with a 20/20 for Randy Arozarena, becoming the second Latin American player after Bobby Abreu and the first player born in Cuba to accomplish the feat in MLB. https://t.co/C5EgMIgYaq

Francys Romero · BeisbolFR · August 23 · on X →

Umpire favor

-0.8 net runs over 54 graded gamesthe zone cost him more than it gave, on balance.

Biggest swings: -0.9 · +0.7

→ all umpire grades

The line

YearTeamLvlGABRHHRRBISBBBSOAVGOPS
2019St. Louis CardinalsMLB19204612224.300.891
2020Tampa Bay RaysMLB236415187114622.2811.023
2021Tampa Bay RaysMLB1415299414520692056170.274.815
2022Tampa Bay RaysMLB1535867215420893246156.263.772
2023Tampa Bay RaysMLB1515519514023832280156.254.789
2024Tampa Bay RaysMLB100350457415371645101.211.712
2024Seattle MarinersMLB54199324652342868.231.733
2024TotalMLB1545497712020602073169.219.720
2025Seattle MarinersMLB1606139514627763164191.238.760
2026Seattle MarinersMLB1264678512720582054115.272.829
MLB CAREER9273379537856138448151381983.253.784

Bio & season lines: MLB StatsAPI · refreshed nightly · abbreviations →