Fever BaseballFor collectors and stat nerdsFuture Value Radar (FVR) · On the record
STL

St. Louis Cardinals

National League · National League Central · Busch Stadium

Umpire favor

+13.9 net runs over 162 graded games — the zone was kind to the club on balance.

Biggest swings: +2.0 vs MIN · +2.0 vs PIT

→ all umpire grades

The season ahead

The 2026 season is over for the St. Louis Cardinals. Their next game is on Opening Day, March 25, 2027.

On the radar

What the market seesWhat the engine sees
PlayerPosAgeResultsSampleBoardSignal
JJ Wetherholt2B24OPS .704139 GINDEXEV95 104.4
Alec Burleson♛1B27OPS .816160 GINDEXEV95 108.6
Riley O'Brien★P31ERA 4.0864.0 IPINDEX—
Jordan Walker★RF24OPS .793158 GINDEXEV95 112.1
Iván Herrera★DH26OPS .735161 GINDEXEV95 107.37
Leo BernalC22OPS .80724 GINDEXEV95 106.8

Left of the rule is the league’s own line on the player — his results, not our numbers, and never an input to any FVR signal. Right of it is what the engine measures.

The Card Pulse

What the collector market pays for this roster — movers first. A rising price is demand, not our read on the player. The full board →

Paid link — as an eBay Partner, FVR earns from qualifying purchases.

Grade B · #7 of 30Heat ▲ 10%Value $50.80 avg
Joshua BáezRCJoshua Baez #BCP-112
▲ 204.3%$105Find this card →
Rainiel RodriguezRainiel Rodriguez #BCP-200
▲ 40.2%$98.13Find this card →
Blaze JordanRCBlaze Jordan #BCP-71
▲ 17%$17.00Find this card →
Andre PallanteRCAndre Pallante #AC-APA
▼ 11.9%$52.49Find this card →
Jordan WalkerRCJordan Walker #209
▲ 11.7%$56.39Find this card →
JJ WetherholtJJ Wetherholt #BCP-22
▼ 7.8%$106Find this card →
Alec BurlesonAlec Burleson [Gold] #573
▼ 1.6%$41.13Find this card →
Iván HerreraIvan Herrera [Refractor] #28
▼ 1%$64.25Find this card →
José FermínRCJose Fermin #RA-JFE
▼ 0.7%$48.47Find this card →
Andre PallanteAndre Pallante [Gold] #698
▼ 0.5%$42.52Find this card →
Iván HerreraRCIvan Herrera #30
▼ 0.1%$34.00Find this card →
Jordan WalkerJordan Walker #FS-6
▼ 0.1%$22.79Find this card →
Alec BurlesonRCAlec Burleson #FA-AB
▲ 0%$37.00Find this card →
Blaze JordanBlaze Jordan #BTP-79
▲ 0%$24.99Find this card →
Chase DavisChase Davis #BDC-48
▲ 0%$21.44Find this card →
Chase DavisRCChase Davis #BDC-48
▲ 0%$15.02Find this card →
Leo BernalLeo Bernal #626
Quinn MathewsQuinn Mathews #BCP-25
Joshua BáezJoshua Baez [Black] #BD-76

What they pay

A market fact, not an engine read — and the club’s own row from the payroll board, computed once so the two pages cannot disagree.

vs the tax line
+$154.0Munder
MP/MW
$1.55M3 of 30 — 1 is cheapest

PROPOSED Below the floor the owners proposed on 2026-07-21 — this club would have to spend up. A proposal out of a negotiation that has not happened, not a rule. The line in force is the $247M tax threshold above.

The five biggest commitments this season

  • Alec Burleson$7.8M
  • Andre Pallante$7.0M
  • Jordan Walker$4.3M
  • Matthew Liberatore$3.3M
  • Iván Herrera$3.3M

Cash is what the club pays out; the tax payroll is average annual values under the CBA’s own rulebook. Two answers to one question, never subtracted from one another. Figures from Cot’s, as of .

A second set of books

The numbers above are Cot’s. These are MLB Spreadsheets’s, and they answer two questions Cot’s cannot: what this payroll is made of, and where it has moved since Opening Day. We keep both sources rather than merging them, because the only thing that catches an error in one is the other.

Where the two sources disagree

  • On cash payroll, Cot’s reads $66.0M and MLB Spreadsheets reads $99.8M — $33.8M apart, with 247 days between the two sheets.
  • On tax payroll, Cot’s reads $93.0M and MLB Spreadsheets reads $111.6M — $18.5M apart, with 247 days between the two sheets.

Both are reputable and neither is wrong on its own terms. A gap on sheets a month apart is one source catching up; a gap on sheets a few days apart is a real disagreement about what a club is paying, and nobody prints those. We do not average them, and every figure on this site says which source it came from.

Since Opening Day

Cash payroll
$102.3M → $99.8M −$2.5M
Tax payroll
$114.6M → $111.6M −$3.0M

A move is not a verdict. Adding payroll is not virtue and cutting it is not vice, so nothing here is colored — the sign is the whole fact. And a move in dollars is not a payroll in dollars: we never compare one to the other.

Where the money goes

Cash payroll

$99.8M

Tax payroll

$111.6M

LineCashTax
Players on the rosterSalary to the men actually playing, majors and minors.$51.4M$53.3M
Major-league salary$48.6M$50.4M
Minor-league salary$2.8M$2.8M
Players who are goneSalary buying this club no player at all.$1.0M$1.0M
Termination pay$0.6M$0.6M
Outright assignments$0.3M$0.3M
BonusesSigning bonuses charged against this season, buyouts of options declined, and bonuses already earned.$3.4M$6.0M
Cash in tradesMoney sent out with a player traded away, or taken in — a negative figure — to absorb someone else's contract.$44.0M$29.8M
League chargesThe same for all thirty clubs — no front office decided to spend this.—$20.2M
Benefits—$18.6M
Pre-arb bonus pool—$1.7M
Adjustments and creditsBookkeeping between the club and the league office.—$1.3M
Total$99.8M$111.6M

An em dash in one column and a figure in the other is not a missing number — it is the two rulebooks sorting the same money differently. A prorated signing bonus is in the cash figure and already inside the average annual value the tax is assessed on; league charges are the reverse. That is why the two totals differ, and why they are never subtracted from one another.

Composition and Opening Day figures from Ethan Hullihen (@EthanHullihen, MLBSpreadsheets), from a workbook whose oldest relevant sheet is dated . The workbook carries a different date on every tab, so this is the oldest of the ones we read rather than the file’s own. Every line above was checked to sum to the club’s stated total before it was printed.

Down on the farm

Organization prospects on our Triple-A boards.

What the market seesWhat the engine sees
PlayerPosAgeClubResultsSampleBoardSignal
Joshua Báez☆LF23St. Louis CardinalsOPS .901103 GTRIPLE-AEV95 110.8
Chase DavisCF24Memphis RedbirdsOPS .69250 GTRIPLE-AEV95 110.185
Blaze Jordan3B23St. Louis CardinalsOPS .65858 G · MLBTRIPLE-AEV95 108.6
Quinn Mathews☆P26St. Louis CardinalsERA 3.2799.0 IPINDEXStuff -0.079
Rainiel RodriguezC19Springfield CardinalsOPS .99987 G · AAINDEX—

Left of the rule is the league’s own line on the player — his results, not our numbers, and never an input to any FVR signal. Right of it is what the engine measures.

On the record

  • C0005 — Joshua Baez · hit

Follow the Cardinals

The Cardinals, in your inbox — every game scored mark for mark, the morning after they play. Every number reconciled to the official line, or the card doesn’t print. Nothing on off-days.

Collect the Cardinals

The organization’s 2026 cardboard, from commons to the high end:

2026 St. Louis Cardinals cards on eBay →

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