Fever BaseballFor collectors and stat nerdsFuture Value Radar (FVR) · On the record

MLB · 1B · St. Louis Cardinals

Alec Burleson

B/T L/L · 6' 0" · 225 lb · born Charlotte, NC, USA · age 27 · draft 2020 rd 2C · played 1B 156, DH 3 · MLB debut 2022-09-08

670 plate appearances scored this season His season card →

INDEXThe Index — tracked, not flagged

A moment

Alec Burleson's three-homer game — Alec Burleson hit three home runs. Three home runs by one man in one game. Read it →

On the record · career milestone this season

500 career hits — Mon, Aug 3 · night game vs. New York Yankees The scorecard → · The write-up →

The Line of the Day

3-5, HR, 2B, 4 RBI — Sun, Aug 16 · day game vs. Chicago Cubs The scorecard →

The card rack

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FlagshipAlec Burleson [Gold] #573 · 2026 Topps Series 2 · 68 recent sales 7N ▼2.2%

$2.25Raw$13.54PSA 9$40.21PSA 10$52.00BGS 10PSA 10 · 60 nights

Live on eBay now · asking, not sold · as of 2026-10-12 · paid links

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The rookieAlec Burleson #FA-AB · 2023 Topps Finest Autographs · 74 recent sales 7N ▲0%

$19.24Raw$32.00PSA 9$37.00PSA 10$48.00BGS 10PSA 10 · 60 nights

Live on eBay now · asking, not sold · as of 2026-10-12 · paid links

See all on eBay →

Paid link — as an eBay Partner, FVR earns from qualifying purchases. · Flagship = his most-traded card (the market’s reference); the rookie = the top card of his first card year. As of October 12, 2026 · trend is FVR's own nightly archive · prices via SportsCardsPro · what these terms mean

Scout’s note

Alec Burleson hits the ball hard — 108.6 EV95, 84th percentile across 406 qualified bats — and his results sit within 0.0313 of what the physics support, so the .279 average and 26 homers for St. Louis this year are earned, not borrowed. The Charlotte native was a 2020 second-round compensatory pick, and at 27 he's driven in 116 runs, first in baseball. The breakout composite puts him 48th, outside the board's 20-man cut. His last 14 days — 3 homers in 5 MLB games, but a .211 average with 6 strikeouts — show the swing-and-miss that's kept him from the top tier. The power is real; the contact rate is the gate.

Note written · FVR scout (GLM-5.2)

We wrote about Burleson here — The Buzz September 28, 2026 · August 20, 2026 · The Overnight: 2-for-3, 2B, HBP, K (August 12, 2026) · The Buzz August 10, 2026 · and 2 more

Current signals

The read: Burleson is tracked, not flagged: an EV95 of 108.6 (84th percentile of the 406 qualified MLB bats we track; median 105.8) with results within 0.031 of what the physics support — nothing owed, nothing borrowed. The boards hunt mispricing, and his price is right. He sits No. 48 of 406 on the breakout composite; the board takes 20.

OWED — his contact has outrun his line. Where he sits in the league →

Age
27
The shape of the seasonEV95 107.8 → 109.8 mphweekly · trailing 75 balls in play · full-season EV95: 108.6 mph — the boards use the season figureEV95 is the top of his range, not the middle — the line can fall in the same weeks his typical contact rises.

Where he stands

through

Against the 406 qualified major-league hitters — 100+ balls in play this season, the same field the boards are chosen out of. Right is better on every row.

  1. EV95108.684
  2. Deserved (xVal)0.44991
  3. Got (aVal)0.40177
  4. Luck gap (park-adjusted)flipped-0.03182

today · 30 days ago, against the 375 men who qualified then · the tick is the midpoint · the number at the right is the percentile, the number beside it the measurement itself.

A second set of books

The same contract, read by MLB Spreadsheets (Ethan Hullihen), as of . We keep two sources on this because one source cannot check itself.

Tax AAV
$3.30M
Term
1 yr

What the sheet prices each season at

Season202620272028
SalaryArb 1Arb 2Arb 3

A base salary under his own reading, and never subtracted from the cash figure above: a signing bonus lands in one and not the other, so the two disagree on most men without either being wrong. And the sheet does not mark which future seasons are GUARANTEED — a club option and a projected arbitration award are both just a number here, so read past the end of the deal as his forecast rather than as money owed.

Two sources, read a month apart, put this guarantee at the same dollar. That is the check, and it passed.

The tax AAV above is his number under the CBA’s own rulebook, not the average we work out from Cot’s total. On a contract with deferred money the two come apart on purpose — and neither is subtracted from the other.

Collect Alec Burleson

If the signal is right, the cardboard usually finds out later. Current listings:

Alec Burleson cards on eBay →

High-end listings ($75+) →

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Not financial advice. We take positions only after publication — never before. Misses stay on the record.

The Bureau on Alec Burleson

The scouting press, in their own words

Alonso 471-foot bomb is his 2nd homer of the day. His 43 HR lead the AL and his 113 RBI leads MLB* (* tied with Alec Burleson)

Jon Heyman · New York Post · September 25 · on X →

Umpire favor

-0.8 net runs over 62 graded games — the zone cost the umpire more than it gave, on balance.

Biggest swings: +0.8 · -0.5

→ all umpire grades

The line

YearTeamLvlGABRHHRRBISBBBSOAVGOPS
2022St. Louis CardinalsMLB16484913159.188.535
2023St. Louis CardinalsMLB107315347783632345.244.690
2024St. Louis CardinalsMLB15254771147217893576.269.734
2025St. Louis CardinalsMLB13949754144186953979.290.802
2026St. Louis CardinalsMLB1606058916926116455121.279.816
MLB CAREER57420122525467430222157330.271.764

Bio & season lines: MLB StatsAPI · refreshed nightly · abbreviations →