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Blue Notes · Umpire Grade2026-06-14

STL @ MIN

Home plate: Jen Pawol

“The players kept asking for a second opinion — and kept getting one.”

D
Umpire Grade
89.0% accurate
1.5
Run Favor
runs, STL
6
ABS Overturns
of 9 reviewed

What this shows — how Jen Pawol called the 154 pitches that were taken (no swing), graded against the tracked rulebook strike zone. He got 137 right. Below, only his misses are plotted, alongside every pitch the ABS (Automated Ball-Strike System) reviewed on a challenge.

The zone, as he called it

Challenge 1: Victor Caratini — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled strike (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).1Challenge 2: Victor Caratini — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled strike (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).2Challenge 3: Victor Caratini — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled strike (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).3Challenge 4: Iván Herrera — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled strike (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).4Challenge 5: Josh Bell — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled ball (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).5Challenge 6: Jordan Walker — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled strike (upheld — ump confirmed).6Challenge 7: Victor Caratini — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled ball (upheld — ump confirmed).7Challenge 8: Austin Martin — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled strike (upheld — ump confirmed).8Challenge 9: Masyn Winn — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled ball (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).9
strike called ballball called strikeABS overturnedABS upheld

The calls that moved the game

  1. 1+0.69▲1 · 3-2 strike called ball· challenged ✓
    Alec Burleson vs Taj Bradley
  2. 2+0.39▲1 · 2-2 strike called ball· challenged ✓
    JJ Wetherholt vs Taj Bradley
  3. 3-0.20▼7 · 2-1 ball called strike
    Austin Martin vs JoJo Romero

Run impact from the count run-value table: a missed strike three is worth far more than one on 3-0.

ABS — the Automated Ball-Strike System

9 pitches went to the robots · 6 overturned (ump overruled) · 3 upheld (ump confirmed). This is the ABS system’s own measurement — Hawk-Eye optical ball-tracking, not our model.

  1. 1Victor Caratini — ump said ball, robot ruled strike: overturned.
  2. 2Victor Caratini — ump said ball, robot ruled strike: overturned.
  3. 3Victor Caratini — ump said ball, robot ruled strike: overturned.
  4. 4Iván Herrera — ump said ball, robot ruled strike: overturned.
  5. 5Josh Bell — ump said strike, robot ruled ball: overturned.
  6. 6Jordan Walker — ump said strike, robot ruled strike: upheld.
  7. 7Victor Caratini — ump said ball, robot ruled ball: upheld.
  8. 8Austin Martin — ump said strike, robot ruled strike: upheld.
  9. 9Masyn Winn — ump said strike, robot ruled ball: overturned.

Our tracked-rulebook zone matched the ABS ruling on 8 of 9 — a zone-definition gap (ABS grades a standardized, height-based zone), not our error.

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