Fever BaseballFor collectors and stat nerdsFuture Value Radar (FVR) · On the record
Blue Notes · Umpire Grade2026-06-13

STL @ MIN

Home plate: Adam Beck

The strike zone picked a side, and wasn't shy about it.

A-
Umpire Grade
94.4% accurate
2.0
Run Favor
runs, STL
3
ABS Overturns
of 4 reviewed

What this shows — how Adam Beck called the 161 pitches that were taken (no swing), graded against the tracked rulebook strike zone. He got 152 right. Below, only his misses are plotted, alongside every pitch the ABS (Automated Ball-Strike System) reviewed on a challenge.

The zone, as he called it

Challenge 1: Alex Jackson — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled strike (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).1Challenge 2: Royce Lewis — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled ball (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).2Challenge 3: Austin Martin — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled ball (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).3Challenge 4: Pedro Pagés — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled ball (upheld — ump confirmed).4
strike called ballball called strikeABS overturnedABS upheld

The calls that moved the game

  1. 1+0.695 · 3-2 strike called ball
    Iván Herrera vs Connor Prielipp
  2. 2-0.698 · 3-2 ball called strike· challenged
    Austin Martin vs Chris Roycroft
  3. 3-0.392 · 2-2 ball called strike· challenged
    Royce Lewis vs Matthew Liberatore

Run impact from the count run-value table: a missed strike three is worth far more than one on 3-0.

ABS — the Automated Ball-Strike System

4 pitches went to the robots · 3 overturned (ump overruled) · 1 upheld (ump confirmed). This is the ABS system’s own measurement — Hawk-Eye optical ball-tracking, not our model.

  1. 1Alex Jackson — ump said ball, robot ruled strike: overturned.
  2. 2Royce Lewis — ump said strike, robot ruled ball: overturned.
  3. 3Austin Martin — ump said strike, robot ruled ball: overturned.
  4. 4Pedro Pagés — ump said ball, robot ruled ball: upheld.

Our tracked-rulebook zone matched the ABS ruling on 4 of 4 — a zone-definition gap (ABS grades a standardized, height-based zone), not our error.

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