Fever BaseballFuture Value Radar (FVR) · On the record
RECORD: 0 HIT · 0 MISS · 12 OPEN · FIRST CALL RESOLVES AUG 12
Support the paperGet the Digest
Blue Notes · Umpire Grade2026-04-07

CHC @ TB

Home plate: Chad Fairchild

“An honest evening's grade: nothing loud, nothing missed by much.”

A-
Umpire Grade
94.9% accurate
0.1
Run Favor
runs, CHC
4
ABS Overturns
of 6 reviewed

What this shows — how Chad Fairchild called the 156 pitches that were taken (no swing), graded against the tracked rulebook strike zone. He got 148 right. Below, only his misses are plotted, alongside every pitch the ABS (Automated Ball-Strike System) reviewed on a challenge.

The zone, as he called it

Challenge 1: Moisés Ballesteros — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled strike (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).1Challenge 2: Nico Hoerner — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled strike (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).2Challenge 3: Pete Crow-Armstrong — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled strike (upheld — ump confirmed).3Challenge 4: Junior Caminero — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled strike (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).4Challenge 5: Nick Fortes — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled ball (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).5Challenge 6: Nick Fortes — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled ball (upheld — ump confirmed).6
strike called ballball called strikeABS overturnedABS upheld

The calls that moved the game

  1. 1+0.23▲5 · 0-2 strike called ball
    Miguel Amaya vs Cole Sulser
  2. 2-0.13▲1 · 1-1 ball called strike
    Nico Hoerner vs Mason Englert
  3. 3+0.13▼5 · 1-0 strike called ball· challenged ✓
    Junior Caminero vs Javier Assad

Run impact from the count run-value table: a missed strike three is worth far more than one on 3-0.

ABS — the Automated Ball-Strike System

6 pitches went to the robots · 4 overturned (ump overruled) · 2 upheld (ump confirmed). This is Hawkeye ground truth, no model involved.

  1. 1Moisés Ballesteros — ump said ball, robot ruled strike: overturned.
  2. 2Nico Hoerner — ump said ball, robot ruled strike: overturned.
  3. 3Pete Crow-Armstrong — ump said strike, robot ruled strike: upheld.
  4. 4Junior Caminero — ump said ball, robot ruled strike: overturned.
  5. 5Nick Fortes — ump said strike, robot ruled ball: overturned.
  6. 6Nick Fortes — ump said ball, robot ruled ball: upheld.

Our tracked-rulebook zone matched the ABS ruling on 4 of 6 — a zone-definition gap (ABS grades a standardized, height-based zone), not our error.