Fever BaseballFuture Value Radar (FVR) · On the record
RECORD: 0 HIT · 0 MISS · 12 OPEN · FIRST CALL RESOLVES AUG 12
Support the paperGet the Digest
Blue Notes · Umpire Grade2026-04-09

COL @ SD

Home plate: Nic Lentz

“This one went to video review more than most.”

B
Umpire Grade
92.3% accurate
0.0
Run Favor
runs, COL
7
ABS Overturns
of 10 reviewed

What this shows — how Nic Lentz called the 168 pitches that were taken (no swing), graded against the tracked rulebook strike zone. He got 155 right. Below, only his misses are plotted, alongside every pitch the ABS (Automated Ball-Strike System) reviewed on a challenge.

The zone, as he called it

Challenge 1: Freddy Fermin — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled ball (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).1Challenge 2: TJ Rumfield — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled strike (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).2Challenge 3: Hunter Goodman — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled ball (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).3Challenge 4: Freddy Fermin — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled ball (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).4Challenge 5: Hunter Goodman — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled ball (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).5Challenge 6: Troy Johnston — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled strike (upheld — ump confirmed).6Challenge 7: Willi Castro — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled strike (upheld — ump confirmed).7Challenge 8: Luis Campusano — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled ball (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).8Challenge 9: Luis Campusano — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled ball (upheld — ump confirmed).9Challenge 10: Brett Sullivan — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled ball (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).10
strike called ballball called strikeABS overturnedABS upheld

The calls that moved the game

  1. 1+0.28▼7 · 1-2 strike called ball
    Freddy Fermin vs Jaden Hill
  2. 2+0.23▲1 · 0-2 strike called ball
    Hunter Goodman vs Randy Vásquez
  3. 3+0.23▼2 · 0-2 strike called ball
    Gavin Sheets vs Chase Dollander

Run impact from the count run-value table: a missed strike three is worth far more than one on 3-0.

ABS — the Automated Ball-Strike System

10 pitches went to the robots · 7 overturned (ump overruled) · 3 upheld (ump confirmed). This is Hawkeye ground truth, no model involved.

  1. 1Freddy Fermin — ump said strike, robot ruled ball: overturned.
  2. 2TJ Rumfield — ump said ball, robot ruled strike: overturned.
  3. 3Hunter Goodman — ump said strike, robot ruled ball: overturned.
  4. 4Freddy Fermin — ump said strike, robot ruled ball: overturned.
  5. 5Hunter Goodman — ump said strike, robot ruled ball: overturned.
  6. 6Troy Johnston — ump said strike, robot ruled strike: upheld.
  7. 7Willi Castro — ump said strike, robot ruled strike: upheld.
  8. 8Luis Campusano — ump said strike, robot ruled ball: overturned.
  9. 9Luis Campusano — ump said ball, robot ruled ball: upheld.
  10. 10Brett Sullivan — ump said strike, robot ruled ball: overturned.

Our tracked-rulebook zone matched the ABS ruling on 3 of 10 — a zone-definition gap (ABS grades a standardized, height-based zone), not our error.