Fever BaseballFor collectors and stat nerdsFuture Value Radar (FVR) · On the record
Blue Notes · Umpire Grade2026-04-10

MIN @ TOR

Home plate: Manny Gonzalez

The corners were friendlier in one direction tonight.

C+
Umpire Grade
90.7% accurate
1.3
Run Favor
runs, MIN
3
ABS Overturns
of 7 reviewed

What this shows — how Manny Gonzalez called the 161 pitches that were taken (no swing), graded against the tracked rulebook strike zone. He got 146 right. Below, only his misses are plotted, alongside every pitch the ABS (Automated Ball-Strike System) reviewed on a challenge.

The zone, as he called it

Challenge 1: Victor Caratini — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled ball (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).1Challenge 2: Vladimir Guerrero Jr. — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled strike (upheld — ump confirmed).2Challenge 3: Josh Bell — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled strike (upheld — ump confirmed).3Challenge 4: George Springer — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled ball (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).4Challenge 5: Ryan Jeffers — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled ball (upheld — ump confirmed).5Challenge 6: Ernie Clement — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled ball (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).6Challenge 7: Brandon Valenzuela — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled ball (upheld — ump confirmed).7
strike called ballball called strikeABS overturnedABS upheld

The calls that moved the game

  1. 1-0.693 · 3-2 ball called strike· challenged
    George Springer vs Simeon Woods Richardson
  2. 2+0.399 · 2-2 strike called ball
    Austin Martin vs Braydon Fisher
  3. 3-0.301 · 3-1 ball called strike· challenged
    Victor Caratini vs Patrick Corbin

Run impact from the count run-value table: a missed strike three is worth far more than one on 3-0.

ABS — the Automated Ball-Strike System

7 pitches went to the robots · 3 overturned (ump overruled) · 4 upheld (ump confirmed). This is the ABS system’s own measurement — Hawk-Eye optical ball-tracking, not our model.

  1. 1Victor Caratini — ump said strike, robot ruled ball: overturned.
  2. 2Vladimir Guerrero Jr. — ump said strike, robot ruled strike: upheld.
  3. 3Josh Bell — ump said strike, robot ruled strike: upheld.
  4. 4George Springer — ump said strike, robot ruled ball: overturned.
  5. 5Ryan Jeffers — ump said ball, robot ruled ball: upheld.
  6. 6Ernie Clement — ump said strike, robot ruled ball: overturned.
  7. 7Brandon Valenzuela — ump said ball, robot ruled ball: upheld.

Our tracked-rulebook zone matched the ABS ruling on 7 of 7 — a zone-definition gap (ABS grades a standardized, height-based zone), not our error.

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