Fever BaseballFor collectors and stat nerdsFuture Value Radar (FVR) · On the record
Blue Notes · Umpire Grade2026-05-01

TOR @ MIN

Home plate: Jacob Metz

Nothing that'll trend, and on this beat that's a compliment.

A-
Umpire Grade
94.4% accurate
0.3
Run Favor
runs, TOR
3
ABS Overturns
of 6 reviewed

What this shows — how Jacob Metz called the 125 pitches that were taken (no swing), graded against the tracked rulebook strike zone. He got 118 right. Below, only his misses are plotted, alongside every pitch the ABS (Automated Ball-Strike System) reviewed on a challenge.

The zone, as he called it

Challenge 1: Victor Caratini — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled strike (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).1Challenge 2: Victor Caratini — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled strike (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).2Challenge 3: Austin Martin — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled strike (upheld — ump confirmed).3Challenge 4: Victor Caratini — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled strike (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).4Challenge 5: Tyler Heineman — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled ball (upheld — ump confirmed).5Challenge 6: Ryan Jeffers — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled strike (upheld — ump confirmed).6
strike called ballball called strikeABS overturnedABS upheld

The calls that moved the game

  1. 1+0.288 · 1-2 strike called ball· challenged
    Tyler Heineman vs Eric Orze
  2. 2+0.131 · 1-0 strike called ball· challenged
    Jesús Sánchez vs Simeon Woods Richardson
  3. 3-0.092 · 0-0 ball called strike
    Kazuma Okamoto vs Simeon Woods Richardson

Run impact from the count run-value table: a missed strike three is worth far more than one on 3-0.

ABS — the Automated Ball-Strike System

6 pitches went to the robots · 3 overturned (ump overruled) · 3 upheld (ump confirmed). This is the ABS system’s own measurement — Hawk-Eye optical ball-tracking, not our model.

  1. 1Victor Caratini — ump said ball, robot ruled strike: overturned.
  2. 2Victor Caratini — ump said ball, robot ruled strike: overturned.
  3. 3Austin Martin — ump said strike, robot ruled strike: upheld.
  4. 4Victor Caratini — ump said ball, robot ruled strike: overturned.
  5. 5Tyler Heineman — ump said ball, robot ruled ball: upheld.
  6. 6Ryan Jeffers — ump said strike, robot ruled strike: upheld.

Our tracked-rulebook zone matched the ABS ruling on 6 of 6 — a zone-definition gap (ABS grades a standardized, height-based zone), not our error.

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