Fever BaseballFor collectors and stat nerdsFuture Value Radar (FVR) · On the record
Blue Notes · Umpire Grade2026-05-04

CIN @ CHC

Home plate: Manny Gonzalez

An honest evening's grade: nothing loud, nothing missed by much.

B
Umpire Grade
92.6% accurate
0.6
Run Favor
runs, CIN
4
ABS Overturns
of 5 reviewed

What this shows — how Manny Gonzalez called the 149 pitches that were taken (no swing), graded against the tracked rulebook strike zone. He got 138 right. Below, only his misses are plotted, alongside every pitch the ABS (Automated Ball-Strike System) reviewed on a challenge.

The zone, as he called it

Challenge 1: Carson Kelly — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled strike (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).1Challenge 2: Sal Stewart — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled ball (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).2Challenge 3: Carson Kelly — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled strike (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).3Challenge 4: Carson Kelly — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled strike (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).4Challenge 5: Moisés Ballesteros — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled strike (upheld — ump confirmed).5
strike called ballball called strikeABS overturnedABS upheld

The calls that moved the game

  1. 1+0.398 · 2-2 strike called ball· challenged
    Will Benson vs Ben Brown
  2. 2+0.398 · 2-2 strike called ball
    Moisés Ballesteros vs Graham Ashcraft
  3. 3-0.281 · 1-2 ball called strike
    Nathaniel Lowe vs Edward Cabrera

Run impact from the count run-value table: a missed strike three is worth far more than one on 3-0.

ABS — the Automated Ball-Strike System

5 pitches went to the robots · 4 overturned (ump overruled) · 1 upheld (ump confirmed). This is the ABS system’s own measurement — Hawk-Eye optical ball-tracking, not our model.

  1. 1Carson Kelly — ump said ball, robot ruled strike: overturned.
  2. 2Sal Stewart — ump said strike, robot ruled ball: overturned.
  3. 3Carson Kelly — ump said ball, robot ruled strike: overturned.
  4. 4Carson Kelly — ump said ball, robot ruled strike: overturned.
  5. 5Moisés Ballesteros — ump said strike, robot ruled strike: upheld.

Our tracked-rulebook zone matched the ABS ruling on 5 of 5 — a zone-definition gap (ABS grades a standardized, height-based zone), not our error.

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