Fever BaseballFor collectors and stat nerdsFuture Value Radar (FVR) · On the record
Blue Notes · Umpire Grade2026-06-06

SF @ CHC

Home plate: Willie Traynor

The zone kept to itself — the hitters said thanks.

B-
Umpire Grade
91.4% accurate
0.0
Run Favor
runs, CHC
4
ABS Overturns
of 6 reviewed

What this shows — how Willie Traynor called the 186 pitches that were taken (no swing), graded against the tracked rulebook strike zone. He got 170 right. Below, only his misses are plotted, alongside every pitch the ABS (Automated Ball-Strike System) reviewed on a challenge.

The zone, as he called it

Challenge 1: Eric Haase — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled ball (upheld — ump confirmed).1Challenge 2: Carson Kelly — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled strike (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).2Challenge 3: Nico Hoerner — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled ball (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).3Challenge 4: Carson Kelly — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled strike (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).4Challenge 5: Matt Chapman — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled strike (upheld — ump confirmed).5Challenge 6: Eric Haase — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled strike (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).6
strike called ballball called strikeABS overturnedABS upheld

The calls that moved the game

  1. 1+0.131 · 1-1 strike called ball· challenged
    Michael Busch vs Landen Roupp
  2. 2+0.138 · 1-1 strike called ball
    Nico Hoerner vs Keaton Winn
  3. 3-0.131 · 1-0 ball called strike
    Michael Busch vs Landen Roupp

Run impact from the count run-value table: a missed strike three is worth far more than one on 3-0.

ABS — the Automated Ball-Strike System

6 pitches went to the robots · 4 overturned (ump overruled) · 2 upheld (ump confirmed). This is the ABS system’s own measurement — Hawk-Eye optical ball-tracking, not our model.

  1. 1Eric Haase — ump said ball, robot ruled ball: upheld.
  2. 2Carson Kelly — ump said ball, robot ruled strike: overturned.
  3. 3Nico Hoerner — ump said strike, robot ruled ball: overturned.
  4. 4Carson Kelly — ump said ball, robot ruled strike: overturned.
  5. 5Matt Chapman — ump said strike, robot ruled strike: upheld.
  6. 6Eric Haase — ump said ball, robot ruled strike: overturned.

Our tracked-rulebook zone matched the ABS ruling on 5 of 6 — a zone-definition gap (ABS grades a standardized, height-based zone), not our error.

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