Fever BaseballFuture Value Radar (FVR) · On the record
RECORD: 0 HIT · 0 MISS · 12 OPEN · FIRST CALL RESOLVES AUG 12
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Blue Notes · Umpire Grade2026-06-28

COL @ MIN

Home plate: Dan Merzel

“Reliable as a Tuesday: no complaints, no headlines.”

A+
Umpire Grade
97.2% accurate
0.4
Run Favor
runs, COL
2
ABS Overturns
of 3 reviewed

What this shows — how Dan Merzel called the 106 pitches that were taken (no swing), graded against the tracked rulebook strike zone. He got 103 right. Below, only his misses are plotted, alongside every pitch the ABS (Automated Ball-Strike System) reviewed on a challenge.

The zone, as he called it

Challenge 1: Alex Jackson — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled ball (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).1Challenge 2: Braxton Fulford — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled ball (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).2Challenge 3: Braxton Fulford — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled ball (upheld — ump confirmed).3
strike called ballball called strikeABS overturnedABS upheld

The calls that moved the game

  1. 1-0.19▼8 · 2-0 ball called strike
    Kody Clemens vs Juan Mejia
  2. 2-0.09▼7 · 0-0 ball called strike
    Josh Bell vs Brennan Bernardino
  3. 3-0.09▼8 · 0-0 ball called strike
    Byron Buxton vs Juan Mejia

Run impact from the count run-value table: a missed strike three is worth far more than one on 3-0.

ABS — the Automated Ball-Strike System

3 pitches went to the robots · 2 overturned (ump overruled) · 1 upheld (ump confirmed). This is Hawkeye ground truth, no model involved.

  1. 1Alex Jackson — ump said strike, robot ruled ball: overturned.
  2. 2Braxton Fulford — ump said strike, robot ruled ball: overturned.
  3. 3Braxton Fulford — ump said ball, robot ruled ball: upheld.

Our tracked-rulebook zone matched the ABS ruling on 1 of 3 — a zone-definition gap (ABS grades a standardized, height-based zone), not our error.