Fever BaseballFor collectors and stat nerdsFuture Value Radar (FVR) · On the record
Blue Notes · Umpire Grade2026-06-29

SD @ CHC

Home plate: Ryan Wills

A workmanlike night — nothing to frame, nothing to fix.

B
Umpire Grade
92.3% accurate
0.1
Run Favor
runs, SD
3
ABS Overturns
of 7 reviewed

What this shows — how Ryan Wills called the 168 pitches that were taken (no swing), graded against the tracked rulebook strike zone. He got 155 right. Below, only his misses are plotted, alongside every pitch the ABS (Automated Ball-Strike System) reviewed on a challenge.

The zone, as he called it

Challenge 1: Freddy Fermin — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled strike (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).1Challenge 2: Alex Bregman — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled ball (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).2Challenge 3: Manny Machado — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled strike (upheld — ump confirmed).3Challenge 4: Freddy Fermin — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled ball (upheld — ump confirmed).4Challenge 5: Ian Happ — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled strike (upheld — ump confirmed).5Challenge 6: Pete Crow-Armstrong — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled ball (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).6Challenge 7: Miguel Amaya — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled ball (upheld — ump confirmed).7
strike called ballball called strikeABS overturnedABS upheld

The calls that moved the game

  1. 1+0.391 · 2-2 strike called ball· challenged
    Michael Busch vs Griffin Canning
  2. 2-0.396 · 2-2 ball called strike· challenged
    Pete Crow-Armstrong vs Adrian Morejon
  3. 3+0.215 · 3-0 strike called ball
    Michael Busch vs Kyle Hart

Run impact from the count run-value table: a missed strike three is worth far more than one on 3-0.

ABS — the Automated Ball-Strike System

7 pitches went to the robots · 3 overturned (ump overruled) · 4 upheld (ump confirmed). This is the ABS system’s own measurement — Hawk-Eye optical ball-tracking, not our model.

  1. 1Freddy Fermin — ump said ball, robot ruled strike: overturned.
  2. 2Alex Bregman — ump said strike, robot ruled ball: overturned.
  3. 3Manny Machado — ump said strike, robot ruled strike: upheld.
  4. 4Freddy Fermin — ump said ball, robot ruled ball: upheld.
  5. 5Ian Happ — ump said strike, robot ruled strike: upheld.
  6. 6Pete Crow-Armstrong — ump said strike, robot ruled ball: overturned.
  7. 7Miguel Amaya — ump said ball, robot ruled ball: upheld.

Our tracked-rulebook zone matched the ABS ruling on 7 of 7 — a zone-definition gap (ABS grades a standardized, height-based zone), not our error.

Paste the link anywhere — the card previews on its own. Or take it with you.

Post on X