Fever BaseballFuture Value Radar (FVR) · On the record
RECORD: 0 HIT · 0 MISS · 12 OPEN · FIRST CALL RESOLVES AUG 12
Blue Notes · Umpire Grade2026-07-03

BAL @ CIN

Home plate: Laz Diaz

Hawkeye did more talking than the umpire tonight.

C
Umpire Grade
89.2% accurate
1.5
Run Favor
runs, CIN
6
ABS Overturns
of 7 reviewed

What this shows — how Laz Diaz called the 158 pitches that were taken (no swing), graded against the tracked rulebook strike zone. He got 141 right. Below, only his misses are plotted, alongside every pitch the ABS (Automated Ball-Strike System) reviewed on a challenge.

The zone, as he called it

Challenge 1: Tyler Stephenson — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled ball (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).1Challenge 2: Dylan Beavers — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled strike (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).2Challenge 3: Samuel Basallo — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled ball (upheld — ump confirmed).3Challenge 4: Tyler Stephenson — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled ball (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).4Challenge 5: Tyler Stephenson — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled ball (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).5Challenge 6: Tyler Stephenson — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled ball (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).6Challenge 7: Tyler Stephenson — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled ball (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).7
strike called ballball called strikeABS overturnedABS upheld

The calls that moved the game

  1. 1+0.693 · 3-2 strike called ball· challenged
    Elly De La Cruz vs Trevor Rogers
  2. 2+0.391 · 2-2 strike called ball
    Elly De La Cruz vs Trevor Rogers
  3. 3+0.393 · 2-2 strike called ball
    Eugenio Suárez vs Trevor Rogers

Run impact from the count run-value table: a missed strike three is worth far more than one on 3-0.

ABS — the Automated Ball-Strike System

7 pitches went to the robots · 6 overturned (ump overruled) · 1 upheld (ump confirmed). This is Hawkeye ground truth, no model involved.

  1. 1Tyler Stephenson — ump said strike, robot ruled ball: overturned.
  2. 2Dylan Beavers — ump said ball, robot ruled strike: overturned.
  3. 3Samuel Basallo — ump said ball, robot ruled ball: upheld.
  4. 4Tyler Stephenson — ump said strike, robot ruled ball: overturned.
  5. 5Tyler Stephenson — ump said strike, robot ruled ball: overturned.
  6. 6Tyler Stephenson — ump said strike, robot ruled ball: overturned.
  7. 7Tyler Stephenson — ump said strike, robot ruled ball: overturned.

Our tracked-rulebook zone matched the ABS ruling on 2 of 7 — a zone-definition gap (ABS grades a standardized, height-based zone), not our error.