Fever BaseballFor collectors and stat nerdsFuture Value Radar (FVR) · On the record
Blue Notes · Umpire Grade2026-07-05

BAL @ CIN

Home plate: Brian O'Nora

Hawkeye did more talking than the umpire tonight.

B+
Umpire Grade
93.1% accurate
0.7
Run Favor
runs, CIN
5
ABS Overturns
of 7 reviewed

What this shows — how Brian O'Nora called the 131 pitches that were taken (no swing), graded against the tracked rulebook strike zone. He got 122 right. Below, only his misses are plotted, alongside every pitch the ABS (Automated Ball-Strike System) reviewed on a challenge.

The zone, as he called it

Challenge 1: Adley Rutschman — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled strike (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).1Challenge 2: Adley Rutschman — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled strike (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).2Challenge 3: Adley Rutschman — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled strike (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).3Challenge 4: Tyler Stephenson — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled ball (upheld — ump confirmed).4Challenge 5: Adley Rutschman — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled ball (upheld — ump confirmed).5Challenge 6: Jackson Holliday — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled ball (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).6Challenge 7: Blaze Alexander — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled ball (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).7
strike called ballball called strikeABS overturnedABS upheld

The calls that moved the game

  1. 1+0.305 · 3-1 strike called ball
    Eugenio Suárez vs Kyle Bradish
  2. 2+0.231 · 0-2 strike called ball· challenged
    Elly De La Cruz vs Kyle Bradish
  3. 3-0.215 · 3-0 ball called strike
    Eugenio Suárez vs Kyle Bradish

Run impact from the count run-value table: a missed strike three is worth far more than one on 3-0.

ABS — the Automated Ball-Strike System

7 pitches went to the robots · 5 overturned (ump overruled) · 2 upheld (ump confirmed). This is the ABS system’s own measurement — Hawk-Eye optical ball-tracking, not our model.

  1. 1Adley Rutschman — ump said ball, robot ruled strike: overturned.
  2. 2Adley Rutschman — ump said ball, robot ruled strike: overturned.
  3. 3Adley Rutschman — ump said ball, robot ruled strike: overturned.
  4. 4Tyler Stephenson — ump said ball, robot ruled ball: upheld.
  5. 5Adley Rutschman — ump said ball, robot ruled ball: upheld.
  6. 6Jackson Holliday — ump said strike, robot ruled ball: overturned.
  7. 7Blaze Alexander — ump said strike, robot ruled ball: overturned.

Our tracked-rulebook zone matched the ABS ruling on 4 of 7 — a zone-definition gap (ABS grades a standardized, height-based zone), not our error.

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