Fever BaseballFor collectors and stat nerdsFuture Value Radar (FVR) · On the record
Blue Notes · Umpire Grade2026-07-05

TOR @ SEA

Home plate: Dexter Kelley

The zone kept to itself — the hitters said thanks.

C+
Umpire Grade
90.8% accurate
0.1
Run Favor
runs, SEA
3
ABS Overturns
of 5 reviewed

What this shows — how Dexter Kelley called the 130 pitches that were taken (no swing), graded against the tracked rulebook strike zone. He got 118 right. Below, only his misses are plotted, alongside every pitch the ABS (Automated Ball-Strike System) reviewed on a challenge.

The zone, as he called it

Challenge 1: Mitch Garver — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled strike (upheld — ump confirmed).1Challenge 2: Alejandro Kirk — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled ball (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).2Challenge 3: Alejandro Kirk — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled strike (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).3Challenge 4: Mitch Garver — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled ball (upheld — ump confirmed).4Challenge 5: Alejandro Kirk — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled strike (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).5
strike called ballball called strikeABS overturnedABS upheld

The calls that moved the game

  1. 1+0.285 · 1-2 strike called ball· challenged
    Cal Raleigh vs Trey Yesavage
  2. 2+0.206 · 2-1 strike called ball
    Yohendrick Piñango vs Emerson Hancock
  3. 3+0.138 · 1-1 strike called ball
    Cal Raleigh vs Mason Fluharty

Run impact from the count run-value table: a missed strike three is worth far more than one on 3-0.

ABS — the Automated Ball-Strike System

5 pitches went to the robots · 3 overturned (ump overruled) · 2 upheld (ump confirmed). This is the ABS system’s own measurement — Hawk-Eye optical ball-tracking, not our model.

  1. 1Mitch Garver — ump said strike, robot ruled strike: upheld.
  2. 2Alejandro Kirk — ump said strike, robot ruled ball: overturned.
  3. 3Alejandro Kirk — ump said ball, robot ruled strike: overturned.
  4. 4Mitch Garver — ump said ball, robot ruled ball: upheld.
  5. 5Alejandro Kirk — ump said ball, robot ruled strike: overturned.

Our tracked-rulebook zone matched the ABS ruling on 4 of 5 — a zone-definition gap (ABS grades a standardized, height-based zone), not our error.

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