Fever BaseballFor collectors and stat nerdsFuture Value Radar (FVR) · On the record
Blue Notes · Umpire Grade2026-07-12

COL @ SF

Home plate: Willie Traynor

Called a fair game and let the players decide it.

A-
Umpire Grade
94.1% accurate
0.5
Run Favor
runs, SF
4
ABS Overturns
of 5 reviewed

What this shows — how Willie Traynor called the 135 pitches that were taken (no swing), graded against the tracked rulebook strike zone. He got 127 right. Below, only his misses are plotted, alongside every pitch the ABS (Automated Ball-Strike System) reviewed on a challenge.

The zone, as he called it

Challenge 1: Kyle Karros — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled ball (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).1Challenge 2: Hunter Goodman — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled strike (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).2Challenge 3: Cole Carrigg — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled ball (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).3Challenge 4: Hunter Goodman — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled strike (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).4Challenge 5: Drew Cavanaugh — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled ball (upheld — ump confirmed).5
strike called ballball called strikeABS overturnedABS upheld

The calls that moved the game

  1. 1-0.281 · 1-2 ball called strike· challenged
    Kyle Karros vs Trevor McDonald
  2. 2+0.194 · 2-0 strike called ball
    TJ Rumfield vs Trevor McDonald
  3. 3-0.135 · 1-0 ball called strike
    Tyler Freeman vs Trevor McDonald

Run impact from the count run-value table: a missed strike three is worth far more than one on 3-0.

ABS — the Automated Ball-Strike System

5 pitches went to the robots · 4 overturned (ump overruled) · 1 upheld (ump confirmed). This is the ABS system’s own measurement — Hawk-Eye optical ball-tracking, not our model.

  1. 1Kyle Karros — ump said strike, robot ruled ball: overturned.
  2. 2Hunter Goodman — ump said ball, robot ruled strike: overturned.
  3. 3Cole Carrigg — ump said strike, robot ruled ball: overturned.
  4. 4Hunter Goodman — ump said ball, robot ruled strike: overturned.
  5. 5Drew Cavanaugh — ump said ball, robot ruled ball: upheld.

Our tracked-rulebook zone matched the ABS ruling on 5 of 5 — a zone-definition gap (ABS grades a standardized, height-based zone), not our error.

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