Fever BaseballFor collectors and stat nerdsFuture Value Radar (FVR) · On the record
Blue Notes · Umpire Grade2026-07-17

MIN @ CHC

Home plate: Bruce Dreckman

A busy night for the machines in the truck.

D
Umpire Grade
86.3% accurate
0.4
Run Favor
runs, MIN
5
ABS Overturns
of 7 reviewed

What this shows — how Bruce Dreckman called the 160 pitches that were taken (no swing), graded against the tracked rulebook strike zone. He got 138 right. Below, only his misses are plotted, alongside every pitch the ABS (Automated Ball-Strike System) reviewed on a challenge.

The zone, as he called it

Challenge 1: Ryan Jeffers — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled strike (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).1Challenge 2: Alan Roden — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled strike (upheld — ump confirmed).2Challenge 3: Ryan Jeffers — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled strike (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).3Challenge 4: Austin Martin — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled ball (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).4Challenge 5: Carson Kelly — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled strike (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).5Challenge 6: Seiya Suzuki — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled strike (upheld — ump confirmed).6Challenge 7: Ryan Jeffers — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled strike (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).7
strike called ballball called strikeABS overturnedABS upheld

The calls that moved the game

  1. 1+0.697 · 3-2 strike called ball
    Austin Martin vs Drew Pomeranz
  2. 2+0.309 · 3-1 strike called ball· challenged
    Ian Happ vs Yoendrys Gómez
  3. 3+0.236 · 0-2 strike called ball
    Michael Busch vs Bailey Ober

Run impact from the count run-value table: a missed strike three is worth far more than one on 3-0.

ABS — the Automated Ball-Strike System

7 pitches went to the robots · 5 overturned (ump overruled) · 2 upheld (ump confirmed). This is the ABS system’s own measurement — Hawk-Eye optical ball-tracking, not our model.

  1. 1Ryan Jeffers — ump said ball, robot ruled strike: overturned.
  2. 2Alan Roden — ump said strike, robot ruled strike: upheld.
  3. 3Ryan Jeffers — ump said ball, robot ruled strike: overturned.
  4. 4Austin Martin — ump said strike, robot ruled ball: overturned.
  5. 5Carson Kelly — ump said ball, robot ruled strike: overturned.
  6. 6Seiya Suzuki — ump said strike, robot ruled strike: upheld.
  7. 7Ryan Jeffers — ump said ball, robot ruled strike: overturned.

Our tracked-rulebook zone matched the ABS ruling on 6 of 7 — a zone-definition gap (ABS grades a standardized, height-based zone), not our error.

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