Fever BaseballFor collectors and stat nerdsFuture Value Radar (FVR) · On the record
Support the paperGet the Digest
THE TAPE · 30-NIGHT CARD MOVES VS THE HOBBY · AS OF OCTOBER 19, 2026◆▲ WILLIAM CONTRERAS — FLAGSHIP PSA 10 +166.6% $320◆▲ BRANDON MARSH — ROOKIE PSA 10 +109.5% $19.00◆▲ BRETT BATEMAN — ROOKIE PSA 10 +79.5% $210◆▲ JACKSON CHOURIO — ROOKIE PSA 10 +72.6% $84.58◆▲ JACOB MISIOROWSKI — FLAGSHIP PSA 10 +62% $203◆▲ BRODY HOPKINS — FLAGSHIP PSA 10 +61.4% $125◆▲ JUNIOR CAMINERO — ROOKIE PSA 10 +58.9% $63.48◆▼ RAFAEL DEVERS — ROOKIE PSA 10 -58.5% $21.99◆▼ SHEA LANGELIERS — ROOKIE PSA 10 -46.9% $82.71◆▲ RAINIEL RODRIGUEZ — FLAGSHIP PSA 10 +42.2% $99.53◆
Blue Notes · Umpire Grade2026-07-19

CIN @ COL

Home plate: Alex Tosi

“A busy night for the machines in the truck.”

C
Umpire Grade
89.2% accurate
0.6
Run Favor
runs, COL
7
ABS Overturns
of 10 reviewed

What this shows — how Alex Tosi called the 130 pitches that were taken (no swing), graded against the tracked rulebook strike zone, or, on a pitch the ABS (Automated Ball-Strike System) reviewed on a challenge, against its ruling. 116 were right. Below, only the misses are plotted, alongside every challenged pitch.

The zone, as he called it

Challenge 1: Tyler Stephenson — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled strike (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).1Challenge 2: Hunter Goodman — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled strike (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).2Challenge 3: TJ Friedl — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled ball (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).3Challenge 4: Hunter Goodman — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled strike (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).4Challenge 5: Tyler Stephenson — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled strike (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).5Challenge 6: Willi Castro — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled strike (upheld — ump confirmed).6Challenge 7: Tyler Stephenson — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled ball (upheld — ump confirmed).7Challenge 8: Tyler Stephenson — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled strike (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).8Challenge 9: Tyler Freeman — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled ball (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).9Challenge 10: Tyler Freeman — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled strike (upheld — ump confirmed).10
strike called ballball called strikeABS overturnedABS upheld

The calls that moved the game

  1. 1-0.69▲3 · 3-2 ball called strike· challenged ✓
    TJ Friedl vs Ryan Feltner
  2. 2+0.20▲2 · 2-1 strike called ball
    Elly De La Cruz vs Ryan Feltner
  3. 3+0.13▲3 · 1-1 strike called ball
    Dane Myers vs Ryan Feltner

Run impact from the count run-value table: a missed strike three is worth far more than one on 3-0.

ABS — the Automated Ball-Strike System

10 pitches went to the robots · 7 overturned (ump overruled) · 3 upheld (ump confirmed). This is the ABS system’s own measurement — Hawk-Eye optical ball-tracking, not our model.

  1. 1Tyler Stephenson — ump said ball, robot ruled strike: overturned.
  2. 2Hunter Goodman — ump said ball, robot ruled strike: overturned.
  3. 3TJ Friedl — ump said strike, robot ruled ball: overturned.
  4. 4Hunter Goodman — ump said ball, robot ruled strike: overturned.
  5. 5Tyler Stephenson — ump said ball, robot ruled strike: overturned.
  6. 6Willi Castro — ump said strike, robot ruled strike: upheld.
  7. 7Tyler Stephenson — ump said ball, robot ruled ball: upheld.
  8. 8Tyler Stephenson — ump said ball, robot ruled strike: overturned.
  9. 9Tyler Freeman — ump said strike, robot ruled ball: overturned.
  10. 10Tyler Freeman — ump said strike, robot ruled strike: upheld.

Our tracked-rulebook zone matched the ABS ruling on 10 of 10 — a zone-definition gap (ABS grades a standardized, height-based zone). Where the two disagree, the umpire is graded on the ABS ruling.

Paste the link anywhere — the card previews on its own. Or take it with you.

Post on X