Fever BaseballFor collectors and stat nerdsFuture Value Radar (FVR) · On the record
Blue Notes · Umpire Grade2026-07-19

CIN @ COL

Home plate: Alex Tosi

A busy night for the machines in the truck.

C
Umpire Grade
89.2% accurate
0.6
Run Favor
runs, COL
7
ABS Overturns
of 10 reviewed

What this shows — how Alex Tosi called the 130 pitches that were taken (no swing), graded against the tracked rulebook strike zone. He got 116 right. Below, only his misses are plotted, alongside every pitch the ABS (Automated Ball-Strike System) reviewed on a challenge.

The zone, as he called it

Challenge 1: Tyler Stephenson — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled strike (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).1Challenge 2: Hunter Goodman — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled strike (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).2Challenge 3: TJ Friedl — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled ball (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).3Challenge 4: Hunter Goodman — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled strike (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).4Challenge 5: Tyler Stephenson — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled strike (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).5Challenge 6: Willi Castro — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled strike (upheld — ump confirmed).6Challenge 7: Tyler Stephenson — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled ball (upheld — ump confirmed).7Challenge 8: Tyler Stephenson — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled strike (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).8Challenge 9: Tyler Freeman — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled ball (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).9Challenge 10: Tyler Freeman — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled strike (upheld — ump confirmed).10
strike called ballball called strikeABS overturnedABS upheld

The calls that moved the game

  1. 1-0.693 · 3-2 ball called strike· challenged
    TJ Friedl vs Ryan Feltner
  2. 2+0.202 · 2-1 strike called ball
    Elly De La Cruz vs Ryan Feltner
  3. 3+0.133 · 1-1 strike called ball
    Dane Myers vs Ryan Feltner

Run impact from the count run-value table: a missed strike three is worth far more than one on 3-0.

ABS — the Automated Ball-Strike System

10 pitches went to the robots · 7 overturned (ump overruled) · 3 upheld (ump confirmed). This is the ABS system’s own measurement — Hawk-Eye optical ball-tracking, not our model.

  1. 1Tyler Stephenson — ump said ball, robot ruled strike: overturned.
  2. 2Hunter Goodman — ump said ball, robot ruled strike: overturned.
  3. 3TJ Friedl — ump said strike, robot ruled ball: overturned.
  4. 4Hunter Goodman — ump said ball, robot ruled strike: overturned.
  5. 5Tyler Stephenson — ump said ball, robot ruled strike: overturned.
  6. 6Willi Castro — ump said strike, robot ruled strike: upheld.
  7. 7Tyler Stephenson — ump said ball, robot ruled ball: upheld.
  8. 8Tyler Stephenson — ump said ball, robot ruled strike: overturned.
  9. 9Tyler Freeman — ump said strike, robot ruled ball: overturned.
  10. 10Tyler Freeman — ump said strike, robot ruled strike: upheld.

Our tracked-rulebook zone matched the ABS ruling on 10 of 10 — a zone-definition gap (ABS grades a standardized, height-based zone), not our error.

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