Fever BaseballFor collectors and stat nerdsFuture Value Radar (FVR) · On the record
Blue Notes · Umpire Grade2026-07-19

DET @ LAA

Home plate: Lance Barksdale

“This one went to video review more than most.”

B
Umpire Grade
92.1% accurate
0.3
Run Favor
runs, DET
5
ABS Overturns
of 5 reviewed

What this shows — how Lance Barksdale called the 165 pitches that were taken (no swing), graded against the tracked rulebook strike zone, or, on a pitch the ABS (Automated Ball-Strike System) reviewed on a challenge, against its ruling. 152 were right. Below, only the misses are plotted, alongside every challenged pitch.

The zone, as he called it

Challenge 1: Tyler Heineman — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled strike (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).1Challenge 2: Tyler Heineman — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled strike (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).2Challenge 3: Zach Neto — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled ball (OVERTURNED — ump overruled). Our tracking puts it on the other side of the line; the grade follows the ruling.3*Challenge 4: Tyler Heineman — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled strike (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).4Challenge 5: Nolan Schanuel — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled ball (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).5
strike called ballball called strikeABS overturnedABS upheld

* Graded on the ABS ruling. ABS measures its own zone, set by the batter’s height and taken at the middle of the plate, and our tracking puts this pitch on the other side of the line.

The calls that moved the game

  1. 1+0.39▼2 · 2-2 strike called ball
    Zach Neto vs Casey Mize
  2. 2+0.20▲4 · 2-1 strike called ball· challenged ✓
    Colt Keith vs Ryan Johnson
  3. 3+0.19▼1 · 2-0 strike called ball
    Nolan Schanuel vs Casey Mize

Run impact from the count run-value table: a missed strike three is worth far more than one on 3-0.

ABS — the Automated Ball-Strike System

5 pitches went to the robots · 5 overturned (ump overruled) · 0 upheld (ump confirmed). This is the ABS system’s own measurement — Hawk-Eye optical ball-tracking, not our model.

  1. 1Tyler Heineman — ump said ball, robot ruled strike: overturned.
  2. 2Tyler Heineman — ump said ball, robot ruled strike: overturned.
  3. 3Zach Neto — ump said strike, robot ruled ball: overturned.
  4. 4Tyler Heineman — ump said ball, robot ruled strike: overturned.
  5. 5Nolan Schanuel — ump said strike, robot ruled ball: overturned.

Our tracked-rulebook zone matched the ABS ruling on 4 of 5 — a zone-definition gap (ABS grades a standardized, height-based zone). Where the two disagree, the umpire is graded on the ABS ruling.

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