Fever BaseballFor collectors and stat nerdsFuture Value Radar (FVR) · On the record
Blue Notes · Umpire Grade2026-08-19

CWS @ CHC

Home plate: Tom Hanahan

The zone shrank when the pitchers needed it most.

B-
Umpire Grade
91.9% accurate
0.9
Run Favor
runs, CWS
2
ABS Overturns
of 6 reviewed

What this shows — how Tom Hanahan called the 148 pitches that were taken (no swing), graded against the tracked rulebook strike zone. He got 136 right. Below, only his misses are plotted, alongside every pitch the ABS (Automated Ball-Strike System) reviewed on a challenge.

The zone, as he called it

Challenge 1: Carson Kelly — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled ball (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).1Challenge 2: Jake Rogers — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled ball (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).2Challenge 3: Sam Antonacci — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled strike (upheld — ump confirmed).3Challenge 4: Carson Kelly — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled ball (upheld — ump confirmed).4Challenge 5: Jake Rogers — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled strike (upheld — ump confirmed).5Challenge 6: Alex Bregman — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled strike (upheld — ump confirmed).6
strike called ballball called strikeABS overturnedABS upheld

The calls that moved the game

  1. 1+0.399 · 2-2 strike called ball
    Sam Antonacci vs Aaron Civale
  2. 2+0.302 · 3-1 strike called ball
    Pedro Ramírez vs Sean Newcomb
  3. 3+0.289 · 1-2 strike called ball
    Randal Grichuk vs Aaron Civale

Run impact from the count run-value table: a missed strike three is worth far more than one on 3-0.

ABS — the Automated Ball-Strike System

6 pitches went to the robots · 2 overturned (ump overruled) · 4 upheld (ump confirmed). This is the ABS system’s own measurement — Hawk-Eye optical ball-tracking, not our model.

  1. 1Carson Kelly — ump said strike, robot ruled ball: overturned.
  2. 2Jake Rogers — ump said strike, robot ruled ball: overturned.
  3. 3Sam Antonacci — ump said strike, robot ruled strike: upheld.
  4. 4Carson Kelly — ump said ball, robot ruled ball: upheld.
  5. 5Jake Rogers — ump said strike, robot ruled strike: upheld.
  6. 6Alex Bregman — ump said strike, robot ruled strike: upheld.

Our tracked-rulebook zone matched the ABS ruling on 4 of 6 — a zone-definition gap (ABS grades a standardized, height-based zone), not our error.

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