Blake Dunn

The card rack

FlagshipBlake Dunn #RA-BD · 2025 Topps Chrome Rookie Autograph · 144 recent sales 7N ▼17.5%

His flagship is his rookie — one card, one market.

$4.30Raw$32.00PSA 9$33.00PSA 10$43.00BGS 10PSA 10 · 46 nights

Live on eBay now · asking, not sold · as of 2026-08-27 · paid links

$4.44Ungraded$4.49Ungraded$4.49Ungraded

See all on eBay →

Paid link — as an eBay Partner, FVR earns from qualifying purchases. · Flagship = his most-traded card (the market’s reference); the rookie = the top card of his first card year. As of August 27, 2026 · trend is FVR's own nightly archive · prices via SportsCardsPro · what these terms mean

Scout’s note

Dunn is 27, 5-foot-9, drafted in the 15th round in 2021 out of Holland, Michigan — and right now he's hitting .282 in 38 games for the Reds, numbers that look like a useful outfielder finding his footing. His EV95 of 106.07 barely clears the league median of 105.9, but a luck gap of 0.0782 puts him in the 99th percentile for results outrunning contact quality, and at No. 1 on the fade board the read is that the numbers are buying more than the barrel is selling. He's stolen 9 bases in 87 career games and runs a 29.6 sprint speed, so the legs are real. But a .282 average on this contact profile is living on borrowed ground, and the gap tends to close from above.

Current signals

The read: Dunn's results are outrunning his contact by more than 99% of the 373 qualified MLB hitters we track — an EV95 of 106.1 (league median 105.8) doesn't usually buy this stat line. Gaps like his tend to close from above; No. 1 of 15 on the fade board.

PAID — his line has outrun his contact. Where he sits in the league →

EV95 (mph)

106.07

Luck gap (park-adj)

0.0781

Overlay score

-0.5777

WAR (season · MLB calc)

0.6

Balls in play

104

Sprint (ft/s)

29.6

Age

27

A market fact, not an engine read: what a club decided about him, on the season before this one. Figures from Cot’s, as of August 20, 2026.

2026 salary

$0.65Mest

Tax hit

$0.65M

Service time

0 yr 89 d

Options left

1 / 3

Regime read from his service time, not from the sheet — it does not project him past this season. Super Two eligibility is the top 22% of a class and can move this line in a way service time alone cannot see.

Cash and the tax hit are two different rulebooks and are never subtracted from one another — see the payroll board for his club, Cincinnati Reds.

A second set of books

The same contract, read by MLB Spreadsheets (Ethan Hullihen), as of August 20, 2026. We keep two sources on this because one source cannot check itself.

Tax AAV

$0.79M

Guaranteed

$0.79M

Term

1 yr

His class

Pre-Arb

The tax AAV above is his number under the CBA’s own rulebook, not the average we work out from Cot’s total. On a contract with deferred money the two come apart on purpose — and neither is subtracted from the other.

Collect Blake Dunn

If the signal is right, the cardboard usually finds out later. Current listings:

High-end listings ($75+) →

Paid link — as an eBay Partner, FVR earns from qualifying purchases.

Not financial advice. We take positions only after publication — never before. Misses stay on the record.