Blake Dunn

The card rack

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FlagshipBlake Dunn #RA-BD · 2025 Topps Chrome Rookie Autograph · 93 recent sales 7N ▲18.8%

His flagship is his rookie — one card, one market.

$3.66Raw$32.00PSA 9$38.00PSA 10$49.00BGS 10PSA 10 · 60 nights

Live on eBay now · asking, not sold · as of 2026-10-11 · paid links

$2.49Ungraded$2.99Ungraded$2.99Ungraded

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Paid link — as an eBay Partner, FVR earns from qualifying purchases. · Flagship = his most-traded card (the market’s reference); the rookie = the top card of his first card year. As of October 11, 2026 · trend is FVR's own nightly archive · prices via SportsCardsPro · what these terms mean

Scout’s note

Blake Dunn came out of Holland, Michigan — a 15th-round pick in 2021 who debuted in June of 2024 — and at 28 he's hitting .282 for Cincinnati in 38 games this year. The contact tells a different story. His EV95 sits at 106.07, fractionally above the league median of 105.8, which sounds fine until you hold it next to a luck gap of 0.0783 — good enough for No. 6 on our fade board, meaning his stat line is outpacing what his bat actually produces against more than 99 percent of the league. He's got power, four career homers and a .658 OPS across 87 games, and the sprint speed of 29.6 plays. But the gap between how hard he hits it and what he's showing is the kind that corrects itself, and not gently.

Note written Oct 10 · FVR scout (GLM-5.2)

Current signals

The read: Dunn's results are outrunning his contact by more than 99% of the 406 qualified MLB hitters we track — an EV95 of 106.1 (league median 105.8) doesn't usually buy this stat line. Gaps like his tend to close from above; No. 6 of 15 on the fade board.

PAID — his line has outrun his contact. Where he sits in the league →

EV95 (mph)

106.07

Luck gap (park-adj)

0.0783

Overlay score

-0.5789

WAR (season · MLB calc)

0.6

Balls in play

104

Sprint (ft/s)

29.6

Age

28

A market fact, not an engine read: what a club decided about him, on the season before this one. Figures from Cot’s, as of June 29, 2025.

2026 salary

—

Tax hit

—

Service time

1 yr 65 d

Options left

0 / 3

Cash and the tax hit are two different rulebooks and are never subtracted from one another — see the payroll board for his club, Cincinnati Reds.

A second set of books

The same contract, read by MLB Spreadsheets (Ethan Hullihen), as of September 17, 2026. We keep two sources on this because one source cannot check itself.

Tax AAV

$0.79M

Guaranteed

$0.79M

Term

1 yr

His class

Pre-Arb

The tax AAV above is his number under the CBA’s own rulebook, not the average we work out from Cot’s total. On a contract with deferred money the two come apart on purpose — and neither is subtracted from the other.

Collect Blake Dunn

If the signal is right, the cardboard usually finds out later. Current listings:

High-end listings ($75+) →

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Not financial advice. We take positions only after publication — never before. Misses stay on the record.