Fever BaseballFor collectors and stat nerdsFuture Value Radar (FVR) · On the record
Blue Notes · Umpire Grade2026-08-19

LAD @ COL

Home plate: Dan Merzel

Down the middle. Both dugouts had the same zone.

A-
Umpire Grade
94.4% accurate
0.2
Run Favor
runs, LAD
2
ABS Overturns
of 5 reviewed

What this shows — how Dan Merzel called the 144 pitches that were taken (no swing), graded against the tracked rulebook strike zone. He got 136 right. Below, only his misses are plotted, alongside every pitch the ABS (Automated Ball-Strike System) reviewed on a challenge.

The zone, as he called it

Challenge 1: Brett Sullivan — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled ball (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).1Challenge 2: Brett Sullivan — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled ball (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).2Challenge 3: Adael Amador — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled strike (upheld — ump confirmed).3Challenge 4: Cole Carrigg — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled strike (upheld — ump confirmed).4Challenge 5: Shohei Ohtani — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled strike (upheld — ump confirmed).5
strike called ballball called strikeABS overturnedABS upheld

The calls that moved the game

  1. 1+0.137 · 1-1 strike called ball
    Freddie Freeman vs Nick Frasso
  2. 2-0.105 · 0-1 ball called strike· challenged
    Cole Carrigg vs Roki Sasaki
  3. 3-0.091 · 0-0 ball called strike
    Cole Carrigg vs Roki Sasaki

Run impact from the count run-value table: a missed strike three is worth far more than one on 3-0.

ABS — the Automated Ball-Strike System

5 pitches went to the robots · 2 overturned (ump overruled) · 3 upheld (ump confirmed). This is the ABS system’s own measurement — Hawk-Eye optical ball-tracking, not our model.

  1. 1Brett Sullivan — ump said strike, robot ruled ball: overturned.
  2. 2Brett Sullivan — ump said strike, robot ruled ball: overturned.
  3. 3Adael Amador — ump said strike, robot ruled strike: upheld.
  4. 4Cole Carrigg — ump said strike, robot ruled strike: upheld.
  5. 5Shohei Ohtani — ump said strike, robot ruled strike: upheld.

Our tracked-rulebook zone matched the ABS ruling on 2 of 5 — a zone-definition gap (ABS grades a standardized, height-based zone), not our error.

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