Fever BaseballFor collectors and stat nerdsFuture Value Radar (FVR) · On the record
Blue Notes · Umpire Grade2026-08-22

LAA @ TEX

Home plate: Jen Pawol

Down the middle. Both dugouts had the same zone.

A-
Umpire Grade
94.8% accurate
0.2
Run Favor
runs, LAA
4
ABS Overturns
of 4 reviewed

What this shows — how Jen Pawol called the 116 pitches that were taken (no swing), graded against the tracked rulebook strike zone. He got 110 right. Below, only his misses are plotted, alongside every pitch the ABS (Automated Ball-Strike System) reviewed on a challenge.

The zone, as he called it

Challenge 1: Zach Neto — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled strike (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).1Challenge 2: Moisés Ballesteros — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled ball (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).2Challenge 3: Adam Frazier — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled strike (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).3Challenge 4: Moisés Ballesteros — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled ball (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).4
strike called ballball called strikeABS overturnedABS upheld

The calls that moved the game

  1. 1-0.137 · 1-1 ball called strike
    Brandon Nimmo vs Ryan Johnson
  2. 2+0.104 · 0-1 strike called ball
    Denzer Guzman vs Cody Bradford
  3. 3+0.095 · 0-0 strike called ball
    Travis d'Arnaud vs Cody Bradford

Run impact from the count run-value table: a missed strike three is worth far more than one on 3-0.

ABS — the Automated Ball-Strike System

4 pitches went to the robots · 4 overturned (ump overruled) · 0 upheld (ump confirmed). This is the ABS system’s own measurement — Hawk-Eye optical ball-tracking, not our model.

  1. 1Zach Neto — ump said ball, robot ruled strike: overturned.
  2. 2Moisés Ballesteros — ump said strike, robot ruled ball: overturned.
  3. 3Adam Frazier — ump said ball, robot ruled strike: overturned.
  4. 4Moisés Ballesteros — ump said strike, robot ruled ball: overturned.

Our tracked-rulebook zone matched the ABS ruling on 0 of 4 — a zone-definition gap (ABS grades a standardized, height-based zone), not our error.

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