Fever BaseballFor collectors and stat nerdsFuture Value Radar (FVR) · On the record
Blue Notes · Umpire Grade2026-08-23

CLE @ COL

Home plate: Jacob Metz

Called a fair game and let the players decide it.

B
Umpire Grade
92.8% accurate
0.1
Run Favor
runs, COL
0
ABS Overturns
of 2 reviewed

What this shows — how Jacob Metz called the 180 pitches that were taken (no swing), graded against the tracked rulebook strike zone. He got 167 right. Below, only his misses are plotted, alongside every pitch the ABS (Automated Ball-Strike System) reviewed on a challenge.

The zone, as he called it

Challenge 1: Brett Sullivan — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled ball (upheld — ump confirmed).1Challenge 2: Brett Sullivan — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled ball (upheld — ump confirmed).2
strike called ballball called strikeABS overturnedABS upheld

The calls that moved the game

  1. 1+0.212 · 3-0 strike called ball
    Ezequiel Tovar vs Foster Griffin
  2. 2+0.192 · 2-0 strike called ball
    Chase DeLauter vs Tomoyuki Sugano
  3. 3+0.132 · 1-1 strike called ball
    Austin Hedges vs Tomoyuki Sugano

Run impact from the count run-value table: a missed strike three is worth far more than one on 3-0.

ABS — the Automated Ball-Strike System

2 pitches went to the robots · 0 overturned (ump overruled) · 2 upheld (ump confirmed). This is the ABS system’s own measurement — Hawk-Eye optical ball-tracking, not our model.

  1. 1Brett Sullivan — ump said ball, robot ruled ball: upheld.
  2. 2Brett Sullivan — ump said ball, robot ruled ball: upheld.

Our tracked-rulebook zone matched the ABS ruling on 2 of 2 — a zone-definition gap (ABS grades a standardized, height-based zone), not our error.

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