Fever BaseballFor collectors and stat nerdsFuture Value Radar (FVR) · On the record
Blue Notes · Umpire Grade2026-08-28

HOU @ NYM

Home plate: Jacob Metz

“The zone had a case of the wanders.”

C+
Umpire Grade
90.9% accurate
0.8
Run Favor
runs, NYM
2
ABS Overturns
of 5 reviewed

What this shows — how Jacob Metz called the 154 pitches that were taken (no swing), graded against the tracked rulebook strike zone. He got 140 right. Below, only his misses are plotted, alongside every pitch the ABS (Automated Ball-Strike System) reviewed on a challenge.

The zone, as he called it

Challenge 1: Yainer Diaz — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled strike (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).1Challenge 2: Luis Torrens — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled strike (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).2Challenge 3: Luis Torrens — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled ball (upheld — ump confirmed).3Challenge 4: Daulton Varsho — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled strike (upheld — ump confirmed).4Challenge 5: Bo Bichette — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled strike (upheld — ump confirmed).5
strike called ballball called strikeABS overturnedABS upheld

The calls that moved the game

  1. 1+0.39▼1 · 2-2 strike called ball
    A.J. Ewing vs Hunter Brown
  2. 2+0.19▼3 · 2-0 strike called ball· challenged ✓
    Marcus Semien vs Hunter Brown
  3. 3+0.13▼3 · 1-0 strike called ball
    Marcus Semien vs Hunter Brown

Run impact from the count run-value table: a missed strike three is worth far more than one on 3-0.

ABS — the Automated Ball-Strike System

5 pitches went to the robots · 2 overturned (ump overruled) · 3 upheld (ump confirmed). This is the ABS system’s own measurement — Hawk-Eye optical ball-tracking, not our model.

  1. 1Yainer Diaz — ump said ball, robot ruled strike: overturned.
  2. 2Luis Torrens — ump said ball, robot ruled strike: overturned.
  3. 3Luis Torrens — ump said ball, robot ruled ball: upheld.
  4. 4Daulton Varsho — ump said strike, robot ruled strike: upheld.
  5. 5Bo Bichette — ump said strike, robot ruled strike: upheld.

Our tracked-rulebook zone matched the ABS ruling on 5 of 5 — a zone-definition gap (ABS grades a standardized, height-based zone), not our error.

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