Fever BaseballFor collectors and stat nerdsFuture Value Radar (FVR) · On the record
Blue Notes · Umpire Grade2026-08-28

HOU @ NYM

Home plate: Jacob Metz

A workmanlike night — nothing to frame, nothing to fix.

B
Umpire Grade
92.2% accurate
0.7
Run Favor
runs, NYM
2
ABS Overturns
of 5 reviewed

What this shows — how Jacob Metz called the 154 pitches that were taken (no swing), graded against the tracked rulebook strike zone. He got 142 right. Below, only his misses are plotted, alongside every pitch the ABS (Automated Ball-Strike System) reviewed on a challenge.

The zone, as he called it

Challenge 1: Yainer Diaz — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled ball (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).1Challenge 2: Luis Torrens — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled ball (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).2Challenge 3: Luis Torrens — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled ball (upheld — ump confirmed).3Challenge 4: Daulton Varsho — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled strike (upheld — ump confirmed).4Challenge 5: Bo Bichette — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled strike (upheld — ump confirmed).5
strike called ballball called strikeABS overturnedABS upheld

The calls that moved the game

  1. 1+0.391 · 2-2 strike called ball
    A.J. Ewing vs Hunter Brown
  2. 2+0.133 · 1-0 strike called ball
    Marcus Semien vs Hunter Brown
  3. 3-0.136 · 1-0 ball called strike
    Daulton Varsho vs Nate Lavender

Run impact from the count run-value table: a missed strike three is worth far more than one on 3-0.

ABS — the Automated Ball-Strike System

5 pitches went to the robots · 2 overturned (ump overruled) · 3 upheld (ump confirmed). This is the ABS system’s own measurement — Hawk-Eye optical ball-tracking, not our model.

  1. 1Yainer Diaz — ump said strike, robot ruled ball: overturned.
  2. 2Luis Torrens — ump said strike, robot ruled ball: overturned.
  3. 3Luis Torrens — ump said ball, robot ruled ball: upheld.
  4. 4Daulton Varsho — ump said strike, robot ruled strike: upheld.
  5. 5Bo Bichette — ump said strike, robot ruled strike: upheld.

Our tracked-rulebook zone matched the ABS ruling on 3 of 5 — a zone-definition gap (ABS grades a standardized, height-based zone), not our error.

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