Fever BaseballFor collectors and stat nerdsFuture Value Radar (FVR) · On the record
Blue Notes · Umpire Grade2026-08-29

CIN @ CHC

Home plate: Chad Whitson

A steady night's work behind the plate.

A
Umpire Grade
96.3% accurate
0.2
Run Favor
runs, CIN
4
ABS Overturns
of 5 reviewed

What this shows — how Chad Whitson called the 190 pitches that were taken (no swing), graded against the tracked rulebook strike zone. He got 183 right. Below, only his misses are plotted, alongside every pitch the ABS (Automated Ball-Strike System) reviewed on a challenge.

The zone, as he called it

Challenge 1: JJ Bleday — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled strike (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).1Challenge 2: Carson Kelly — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled ball (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).2Challenge 3: Jose Trevino — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled ball (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).3Challenge 4: Carson Kelly — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled ball (upheld — ump confirmed).4Challenge 5: Alex Bregman — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled strike (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).5
strike called ballball called strikeABS overturnedABS upheld

The calls that moved the game

  1. 1+0.307 · 3-1 strike called ball
    Carson Kelly vs Tony Santillan
  2. 2-0.218 · 3-0 ball called strike
    Pedro Ramírez vs Jose Trevino
  3. 3-0.135 · 1-1 ball called strike
    Seiya Suzuki vs Julian Garcia

Run impact from the count run-value table: a missed strike three is worth far more than one on 3-0.

ABS — the Automated Ball-Strike System

5 pitches went to the robots · 4 overturned (ump overruled) · 1 upheld (ump confirmed). This is the ABS system’s own measurement — Hawk-Eye optical ball-tracking, not our model.

  1. 1JJ Bleday — ump said ball, robot ruled strike: overturned.
  2. 2Carson Kelly — ump said strike, robot ruled ball: overturned.
  3. 3Jose Trevino — ump said strike, robot ruled ball: overturned.
  4. 4Carson Kelly — ump said ball, robot ruled ball: upheld.
  5. 5Alex Bregman — ump said ball, robot ruled strike: overturned.

Our tracked-rulebook zone matched the ABS ruling on 2 of 5 — a zone-definition gap (ABS grades a standardized, height-based zone), not our error.

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