Fever BaseballFor collectors and stat nerdsFuture Value Radar (FVR) · On the record
Blue Notes · Umpire Grade2026-08-29

TEX @ MIL

Home plate: Chris Conroy

The kind of night where the umpire is the least of the story.

A
Umpire Grade
96.4% accurate
0.5
Run Favor
runs, TEX
3
ABS Overturns
of 5 reviewed

What this shows — how Chris Conroy called the 138 pitches that were taken (no swing), graded against the tracked rulebook strike zone. He got 133 right. Below, only his misses are plotted, alongside every pitch the ABS (Automated Ball-Strike System) reviewed on a challenge.

The zone, as he called it

Challenge 1: Danny Jansen — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled ball (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).1Challenge 2: Danny Jansen — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled ball (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).2Challenge 3: Jake Burger — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled strike (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).3Challenge 4: Logan O'Hoppe — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled strike (upheld — ump confirmed).4Challenge 5: William Contreras — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled ball (upheld — ump confirmed).5
strike called ballball called strikeABS overturnedABS upheld

The calls that moved the game

  1. 1+0.392 · 2-2 strike called ball· challenged
    Jake Burger vs Shane Drohan
  2. 2+0.208 · 2-1 strike called ball
    Jake Bauers vs Jakob Junis
  3. 3-0.138 · 1-1 ball called strike
    William Contreras vs Jakob Junis

Run impact from the count run-value table: a missed strike three is worth far more than one on 3-0.

ABS — the Automated Ball-Strike System

5 pitches went to the robots · 3 overturned (ump overruled) · 2 upheld (ump confirmed). This is the ABS system’s own measurement — Hawk-Eye optical ball-tracking, not our model.

  1. 1Danny Jansen — ump said strike, robot ruled ball: overturned.
  2. 2Danny Jansen — ump said strike, robot ruled ball: overturned.
  3. 3Jake Burger — ump said ball, robot ruled strike: overturned.
  4. 4Logan O'Hoppe — ump said strike, robot ruled strike: upheld.
  5. 5William Contreras — ump said ball, robot ruled ball: upheld.

Our tracked-rulebook zone matched the ABS ruling on 3 of 5 — a zone-definition gap (ABS grades a standardized, height-based zone), not our error.

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