Fever BaseballFor collectors and stat nerdsFuture Value Radar (FVR) · On the record
Blue Notes · Umpire Grade2026-08-31

MIL @ CHC

Home plate: Tripp Gibson

One dugout got the friendlier version of the evening.

C
Umpire Grade
89.3% accurate
1.5
Run Favor
runs, MIL
3
ABS Overturns
of 4 reviewed

What this shows — how Tripp Gibson called the 186 pitches that were taken (no swing), graded against the tracked rulebook strike zone. He got 166 right. Below, only his misses are plotted, alongside every pitch the ABS (Automated Ball-Strike System) reviewed on a challenge.

The zone, as he called it

Challenge 1: Jake Bauers — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled strike (upheld — ump confirmed).1Challenge 2: Carson Kelly — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled strike (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).2Challenge 3: Alex Bregman — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled ball (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).3Challenge 4: Nico Hoerner — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled ball (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).4
strike called ballball called strikeABS overturnedABS upheld

The calls that moved the game

  1. 1-0.692 · 3-2 ball called strike
    Sal Frelick vs Clay Holmes
  2. 2-0.694 · 3-2 ball called strike· challenged
    Nico Hoerner vs Kyle Harrison
  3. 3-0.303 · 3-1 ball called strike
    David Hamilton vs Clay Holmes

Run impact from the count run-value table: a missed strike three is worth far more than one on 3-0.

ABS — the Automated Ball-Strike System

4 pitches went to the robots · 3 overturned (ump overruled) · 1 upheld (ump confirmed). This is the ABS system’s own measurement — Hawk-Eye optical ball-tracking, not our model.

  1. 1Jake Bauers — ump said strike, robot ruled strike: upheld.
  2. 2Carson Kelly — ump said ball, robot ruled strike: overturned.
  3. 3Alex Bregman — ump said strike, robot ruled ball: overturned.
  4. 4Nico Hoerner — ump said strike, robot ruled ball: overturned.

Our tracked-rulebook zone matched the ABS ruling on 4 of 4 — a zone-definition gap (ABS grades a standardized, height-based zone), not our error.

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