Fever BaseballFor collectors and stat nerdsFuture Value Radar (FVR) · On the record
Blue Notes · Umpire Grade2026-09-03

TB @ TEX

Home plate: Lance Barksdale

Nothing that'll trend, and on this beat that's a compliment.

B+
Umpire Grade
93.8% accurate
0.4
Run Favor
runs, TEX
3
ABS Overturns
of 4 reviewed

What this shows — how Lance Barksdale called the 129 pitches that were taken (no swing), graded against the tracked rulebook strike zone. He got 121 right. Below, only his misses are plotted, alongside every pitch the ABS (Automated Ball-Strike System) reviewed on a challenge.

The zone, as he called it

Challenge 1: Nick Fortes — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled strike (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).1Challenge 2: Cedric Mullins — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled ball (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).2Challenge 3: Cedric Mullins — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled ball (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).3Challenge 4: Elias Díaz — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled ball (upheld — ump confirmed).4
strike called ballball called strikeABS overturnedABS upheld

The calls that moved the game

  1. 1-0.307 · 3-1 ball called strike· challenged
    Cedric Mullins vs Cal Quantrill
  2. 2+0.282 · 1-2 strike called ball· challenged
    Jake Burger vs Shane McClanahan
  3. 3+0.207 · 2-1 strike called ball
    Cedric Mullins vs Cal Quantrill

Run impact from the count run-value table: a missed strike three is worth far more than one on 3-0.

ABS — the Automated Ball-Strike System

4 pitches went to the robots · 3 overturned (ump overruled) · 1 upheld (ump confirmed). This is the ABS system’s own measurement — Hawk-Eye optical ball-tracking, not our model.

  1. 1Nick Fortes — ump said ball, robot ruled strike: overturned.
  2. 2Cedric Mullins — ump said strike, robot ruled ball: overturned.
  3. 3Cedric Mullins — ump said strike, robot ruled ball: overturned.
  4. 4Elias Díaz — ump said ball, robot ruled ball: upheld.

Our tracked-rulebook zone matched the ABS ruling on 4 of 4 — a zone-definition gap (ABS grades a standardized, height-based zone), not our error.

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