Fever BaseballFor collectors and stat nerdsFuture Value Radar (FVR) · On the record
Blue Notes · Umpire Grade2026-09-04

MIL @ CIN

Home plate: James Jean

“A busy night for the machines in the truck.”

A-
Umpire Grade
94.1% accurate
0.4
Run Favor
runs, CIN
5
ABS Overturns
of 6 reviewed

What this shows — how James Jean called the 202 pitches that were taken (no swing), graded against the tracked rulebook strike zone, or, on a pitch the ABS (Automated Ball-Strike System) reviewed on a challenge, against its ruling. 190 were right. Below, only the misses are plotted, alongside every challenged pitch.

The zone, as he called it

Challenge 1: William Contreras — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled strike (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).1Challenge 2: Tyler Stephenson — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled strike (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).2Challenge 3: Luis Lara — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled strike (upheld — ump confirmed).3Challenge 4: Tyler Stephenson — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled strike (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).4Challenge 5: William Contreras — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled strike (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).5Challenge 6: Cooper Pratt — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled ball (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).6
strike called ballball called strikeABS overturnedABS upheld

The calls that moved the game

  1. 1-0.69▲9 · 3-2 ball called strike· challenged ✓
    Cooper Pratt vs Julian Garcia
  2. 2-0.39▼8 · 2-2 ball called strike
    Matt McLain vs Aaron Ashby
  3. 3-0.20▲4 · 2-1 ball called strike
    David Hamilton vs Rhett Lowder

Run impact from the count run-value table: a missed strike three is worth far more than one on 3-0.

ABS — the Automated Ball-Strike System

6 pitches went to the robots · 5 overturned (ump overruled) · 1 upheld (ump confirmed). This is the ABS system’s own measurement — Hawk-Eye optical ball-tracking, not our model.

  1. 1William Contreras — ump said ball, robot ruled strike: overturned.
  2. 2Tyler Stephenson — ump said ball, robot ruled strike: overturned.
  3. 3Luis Lara — ump said strike, robot ruled strike: upheld.
  4. 4Tyler Stephenson — ump said ball, robot ruled strike: overturned.
  5. 5William Contreras — ump said ball, robot ruled strike: overturned.
  6. 6Cooper Pratt — ump said strike, robot ruled ball: overturned.

Our tracked-rulebook zone matched the ABS ruling on 6 of 6 — a zone-definition gap (ABS grades a standardized, height-based zone). Where the two disagree, the umpire is graded on the ABS ruling.

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