Fever BaseballFor collectors and stat nerdsFuture Value Radar (FVR) · On the record
Blue Notes · Umpire Grade2026-09-07

CHC @ MIL

Home plate: Scott Barry

“You wanted a strike, you had to earn it twice.”

D
Umpire Grade
88.2% accurate
0.8
Run Favor
runs, CHC
4
ABS Overturns
of 7 reviewed

What this shows — how Scott Barry called the 152 pitches that were taken (no swing), graded against the tracked rulebook strike zone, or, on a pitch the ABS (Automated Ball-Strike System) reviewed on a challenge, against its ruling. 134 were right. Below, only the misses are plotted, alongside every challenged pitch.

The zone, as he called it

Challenge 1: William Contreras — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled strike (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).1Challenge 2: Carson Kelly — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled strike (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).2Challenge 3: Carson Kelly — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled strike (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).3Challenge 4: William Contreras — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled ball (upheld — ump confirmed).4Challenge 5: Carson Kelly — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled strike (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).5Challenge 6: William Contreras — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled ball (upheld — ump confirmed).6Challenge 7: Carson Kelly — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled ball (upheld — ump confirmed).7
strike called ballball called strikeABS overturnedABS upheld

The calls that moved the game

  1. 1+0.69▲2 · 3-2 strike called ball· challenged ✓
    Carson Kelly vs Robert Gasser
  2. 2-0.39▼4 · 2-2 ball called strike
    Andrew Vaughn vs Matthew Boyd
  3. 3+0.28▲5 · 1-2 strike called ball
    Seiya Suzuki vs Robert Gasser

Run impact from the count run-value table: a missed strike three is worth far more than one on 3-0.

ABS — the Automated Ball-Strike System

7 pitches went to the robots · 4 overturned (ump overruled) · 3 upheld (ump confirmed). This is the ABS system’s own measurement — Hawk-Eye optical ball-tracking, not our model.

  1. 1William Contreras — ump said ball, robot ruled strike: overturned.
  2. 2Carson Kelly — ump said ball, robot ruled strike: overturned.
  3. 3Carson Kelly — ump said ball, robot ruled strike: overturned.
  4. 4William Contreras — ump said ball, robot ruled ball: upheld.
  5. 5Carson Kelly — ump said ball, robot ruled strike: overturned.
  6. 6William Contreras — ump said ball, robot ruled ball: upheld.
  7. 7Carson Kelly — ump said ball, robot ruled ball: upheld.

Our tracked-rulebook zone matched the ABS ruling on 7 of 7 — a zone-definition gap (ABS grades a standardized, height-based zone). Where the two disagree, the umpire is graded on the ABS ruling.

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