Fever BaseballFor collectors and stat nerdsFuture Value Radar (FVR) · On the record
Blue Notes · Umpire Grade2026-09-08

MIN @ DET

Home plate: Vic Carapazza

The kind of night where the umpire is the least of the story.

A
Umpire Grade
95.1% accurate
0.3
Run Favor
runs, DET
2
ABS Overturns
of 5 reviewed

What this shows — how Vic Carapazza called the 122 pitches that were taken (no swing), graded against the tracked rulebook strike zone. He got 116 right. Below, only his misses are plotted, alongside every pitch the ABS (Automated Ball-Strike System) reviewed on a challenge.

The zone, as he called it

Challenge 1: Ryan Jeffers — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled ball (upheld — ump confirmed).1Challenge 2: Luke Keaschall — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled ball (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).2Challenge 3: Luke Keaschall — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled ball (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).3Challenge 4: Drew Anderson — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled ball (upheld — ump confirmed).4Challenge 5: Ryan Jeffers — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled ball (upheld — ump confirmed).5
strike called ballball called strikeABS overturnedABS upheld

The calls that moved the game

  1. 1+0.396 · 2-2 strike called ball
    Josh Bell vs Beau Brieske
  2. 2-0.286 · 1-2 ball called strike· challenged
    Luke Keaschall vs Drew Anderson
  3. 3-0.288 · 1-2 ball called strike
    Walker Jenkins vs Brant Hurter

Run impact from the count run-value table: a missed strike three is worth far more than one on 3-0.

ABS — the Automated Ball-Strike System

5 pitches went to the robots · 2 overturned (ump overruled) · 3 upheld (ump confirmed). This is the ABS system’s own measurement — Hawk-Eye optical ball-tracking, not our model.

  1. 1Ryan Jeffers — ump said ball, robot ruled ball: upheld.
  2. 2Luke Keaschall — ump said strike, robot ruled ball: overturned.
  3. 3Luke Keaschall — ump said strike, robot ruled ball: overturned.
  4. 4Drew Anderson — ump said ball, robot ruled ball: upheld.
  5. 5Ryan Jeffers — ump said ball, robot ruled ball: upheld.

Our tracked-rulebook zone matched the ABS ruling on 4 of 5 — a zone-definition gap (ABS grades a standardized, height-based zone), not our error.

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