Fever BaseballFor collectors and stat nerdsFuture Value Radar (FVR) · On the record
Blue Notes · Umpire Grade2026-09-08

TEX @ SEA

Home plate: Jordan Baker

“Down the middle. Both dugouts had the same zone.”

B
Umpire Grade
92.3% accurate
0.8
Run Favor
runs, TEX
2
ABS Overturns
of 4 reviewed

What this shows — how Jordan Baker called the 170 pitches that were taken (no swing), graded against the tracked rulebook strike zone, or, on a pitch the ABS (Automated Ball-Strike System) reviewed on a challenge, against its ruling. 157 were right. Below, only the misses are plotted, alongside every challenged pitch.

The zone, as he called it

Challenge 1: Cal Raleigh — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled strike (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).1Challenge 2: Justin Foscue — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled strike (upheld — ump confirmed).2Challenge 3: Cal Raleigh — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled ball (upheld — ump confirmed). Our tracking puts it on the other side of the line; the grade follows the ruling.3*Challenge 4: Cal Raleigh — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled strike (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).4
strike called ballball called strikeABS overturnedABS upheld

* Graded on the ABS ruling. ABS measures its own zone, set by the batter’s height and taken at the middle of the plate, and our tracking puts this pitch on the other side of the line.

The calls that moved the game

  1. 1+0.39▲2 · 2-2 strike called ball
    Danny Jansen vs Bryce Miller
  2. 2+0.28▲4 · 1-2 strike called ball· challenged ✓
    Wyatt Langford vs Bryce Miller
  3. 3+0.28▲9 · 1-2 strike called ball· challenged ✓
    Evan Carter vs Hoby Milner

Run impact from the count run-value table: a missed strike three is worth far more than one on 3-0.

ABS — the Automated Ball-Strike System

4 pitches went to the robots · 2 overturned (ump overruled) · 2 upheld (ump confirmed). This is the ABS system’s own measurement — Hawk-Eye optical ball-tracking, not our model.

  1. 1Cal Raleigh — ump said ball, robot ruled strike: overturned.
  2. 2Justin Foscue — ump said strike, robot ruled strike: upheld.
  3. 3Cal Raleigh — ump said ball, robot ruled ball: upheld.
  4. 4Cal Raleigh — ump said ball, robot ruled strike: overturned.

Our tracked-rulebook zone matched the ABS ruling on 3 of 4 — a zone-definition gap (ABS grades a standardized, height-based zone). Where the two disagree, the umpire is graded on the ABS ruling.

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