Fever BaseballFor collectors and stat nerdsFuture Value Radar (FVR) · On the record
Blue Notes · Umpire Grade2026-09-09

TEX @ SEA

Home plate: Junior Valentine

“One side pitched to a slightly bigger plate.”

A
Umpire Grade
95.1% accurate
1.1
Run Favor
runs, TEX
1
ABS Overturns
of 4 reviewed

What this shows — how Junior Valentine called the 122 pitches that were taken (no swing), graded against the tracked rulebook strike zone, or, on a pitch the ABS (Automated Ball-Strike System) reviewed on a challenge, against its ruling. 116 were right. Below, only the misses are plotted, alongside every challenged pitch.

The zone, as he called it

Challenge 1: Cal Raleigh — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled ball (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).1Challenge 2: Josh Naylor — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled strike (upheld — ump confirmed).2Challenge 3: Elias Díaz — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled ball (upheld — ump confirmed).3Challenge 4: Wyatt Langford — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled strike (upheld — ump confirmed).4
strike called ballball called strikeABS overturnedABS upheld

The calls that moved the game

  1. 1-0.69▼2 · 3-2 ball called strike· challenged ✓
    Cal Raleigh vs Cody Bradford
  2. 2+0.28▲3 · 1-2 strike called ball
    Wyatt Langford vs Kade Anderson
  3. 3-0.21▼7 · 3-0 ball called strike
    Cole Young vs Trevor Williams

Run impact from the count run-value table: a missed strike three is worth far more than one on 3-0.

ABS — the Automated Ball-Strike System

4 pitches went to the robots · 1 overturned (ump overruled) · 3 upheld (ump confirmed). This is the ABS system’s own measurement — Hawk-Eye optical ball-tracking, not our model.

  1. 1Cal Raleigh — ump said strike, robot ruled ball: overturned.
  2. 2Josh Naylor — ump said strike, robot ruled strike: upheld.
  3. 3Elias Díaz — ump said ball, robot ruled ball: upheld.
  4. 4Wyatt Langford — ump said strike, robot ruled strike: upheld.

Our tracked-rulebook zone matched the ABS ruling on 4 of 4 — a zone-definition gap (ABS grades a standardized, height-based zone). Where the two disagree, the umpire is graded on the ABS ruling.

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