Fever BaseballFor collectors and stat nerdsFuture Value Radar (FVR) · On the record
Blue Notes · Umpire Grade2026-10-15

TB @ CLE

Home plate: Bill Miller

“The strike zone picked a side, and wasn't shy about it.”

C+
Umpire Grade
90.9% accurate
1.6
Run Favor
runs, CLE
4
ABS Overturns
of 6 reviewed

What this shows — how Bill Miller called the 121 pitches that were taken (no swing), graded against the tracked rulebook strike zone. He got 110 right. Below, only his misses are plotted, alongside every pitch the ABS (Automated Ball-Strike System) reviewed on a challenge.

The zone, as he called it

Challenge 1: Jo Adell — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled ball (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).1Challenge 2: Liam Hicks — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled ball (upheld — ump confirmed).2Challenge 3: Liam Hicks — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled strike (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).3Challenge 4: Liam Hicks — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled strike (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).4Challenge 5: Liam Hicks — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled strike (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).5Challenge 6: Patrick Bailey — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled ball (upheld — ump confirmed).6
strike called ballball called strikeABS overturnedABS upheld

The calls that moved the game

  1. 1+0.69▼2 · 3-2 strike called ball· challenged
    Jo Adell vs Griffin Jax
  2. 2+0.69▼6 · 3-2 strike called ball· challenged ✓
    Nathaniel Lowe vs Tyler Wells
  3. 3-0.28▼1 · 1-2 ball called strike
    Steven Kwan vs Griffin Jax

Run impact from the count run-value table: a missed strike three is worth far more than one on 3-0.

ABS — the Automated Ball-Strike System

6 pitches went to the robots · 4 overturned (ump overruled) · 2 upheld (ump confirmed). This is the ABS system’s own measurement — Hawk-Eye optical ball-tracking, not our model.

  1. 1Jo Adell — ump said strike, robot ruled ball: overturned.
  2. 2Liam Hicks — ump said ball, robot ruled ball: upheld.
  3. 3Liam Hicks — ump said ball, robot ruled strike: overturned.
  4. 4Liam Hicks — ump said ball, robot ruled strike: overturned.
  5. 5Liam Hicks — ump said ball, robot ruled strike: overturned.
  6. 6Patrick Bailey — ump said ball, robot ruled ball: upheld.

Our tracked-rulebook zone matched the ABS ruling on 4 of 6 — a zone-definition gap (ABS grades a standardized, height-based zone), not our error.

Paste the link anywhere — the card previews on its own. Or take it with you.

Post on X