Fever BaseballFor collectors and stat nerdsFuture Value Radar (FVR) · On the record

AAA · P · San Francisco Giants

Carson Seymour

B/T R/R · 6' 5" · 264 lb · born Poway, CA, USA · age 27 · draft 2021 rd 6 · played P 47 · MLB debut 2025-06-29

148 batters faced scored this season His season card →

INDEXThe Index — tracked, not flagged

The card rack

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FlagshipAlan Rangel / Elvis Alvarado / Carson Seymour / Joe Rock #389 · 2026 Topps Heritage · 60 recent sales 7N ▼0.2%

$2.99Raw$14.61PSA 9$43.02PSA 10$56.00BGS 10PSA 10 · 60 nights

Live on eBay now · asking, not sold · as of 2026-10-12 · paid links

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The rookieCarson Seymour #91A-CAR · 2026 Topps 1991 Autograph · 42 recent sales 7N ▲0%

$3.25Raw$15.12PSA 9$44.82PSA 10$58.00BGS 10PSA 10 · 60 nights

Live on eBay now · asking, not sold · as of 2026-10-12 · paid links

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Paid link — as an eBay Partner, FVR earns from qualifying purchases. · Flagship = his most-traded card (the market’s reference); the rookie = the top card of his first card year. As of October 12, 2026 · trend is FVR's own nightly archive · prices via SportsCardsPro · what these terms mean

Scout’s note

Carson Seymour is in the Index ungraded — same as every arm, since the stuff model isn't outcome-validated. No board flag for a 6-foot-5, 264-pound right-hander from Poway, California, who debuted in June 2025 and has thrown 31.2 innings with 23 strikeouts for San Francisco this year. The ERA-FIP luck gap cleared the bar, so a regression call is filed by hand. A sixth-round pick in 2021, Seymour is 27 and in his first full stretch. The science sets the timeline.

Note written · FVR scout (GLM-5.2)

Current signals

The read: Seymour is in the Index ungraded, on purpose: our stuff model is stability-tested but not outcome-validated, so no big-league arm gets a board flag from it — not even one of the best seasons in the sport. (Calls are another matter: the ERA-FIP luck gap did clear the bar, and we file arm regression calls by hand from it.) The page is here because the player matters; the board grade waits for the science.

CSW%
25.5%
Age
27

A second set of books

The same contract, read by MLB Spreadsheets (Ethan Hullihen), as of . We keep two sources on this because one source cannot check itself.

Tax AAV
$0.79M
Term
1 yr
His class
Pre-Arb

What the sheet prices each season at

Season2026202720282029203020312032
SalaryMinimumMinimumMinimumArb 1Arb 2Arb 3Arb 4

A base salary under his own reading, and never subtracted from the cash figure above: a signing bonus lands in one and not the other, so the two disagree on most men without either being wrong. And the sheet does not mark which future seasons are GUARANTEED — a club option and a projected arbitration award are both just a number here, so read past the end of the deal as his forecast rather than as money owed.

The tax AAV above is his number under the CBA’s own rulebook, not the average we work out from Cot’s total. On a contract with deferred money the two come apart on purpose — and neither is subtracted from the other.

Collect Carson Seymour

If the signal is right, the cardboard usually finds out later. Current listings:

Carson Seymour cards on eBay →

High-end listings ($75+) →

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Not financial advice. We take positions only after publication — never before. Misses stay on the record.

Umpire favor

+0.4 net runs over 9 graded games — the zone was kind to the umpire on balance.

Biggest swings: +0.4 · +0.4

→ all umpire grades

The line

YearTeamLvlGIPW–LSVERASOWHIP
2022St. Lucie MetsA730.14–001.19271.05
2022Brooklyn CyclonesA+1151.11–503.68651.11
2022Eugene EmeraldsA+629.12–303.99431.19
2022TotalA+1780.23–803.791081.14
2023Richmond Flying SquirrelsAA28112.25–303.991141.23
2024Sacramento River CatsAAA29134.17–1004.821321.57
2025Sacramento River CatsAAA1677.04–803.86901.34
2025San Francisco GiantsMLB1636.01–304.75261.39
2026Sacramento River CatsAAA2276.05–243.79701.29
2026San Francisco GiantsMLB2531.20–214.55231.48
MLB CAREER4167.21–514.66491.43

Bio & season lines: MLB StatsAPI · refreshed nightly · abbreviations →