Chandler Simpson

The card rack

FlagshipChandler Simpson #HA-50 · 2025 Topps Update Homefield Advantage · 248 recent sales 7N ▼24.5%

His flagship is his rookie — one card, one market.

$23.23Raw$60.86PSA 9$189PSA 10$245BGS 10PSA 10 · 46 nights

Live on eBay now · asking, not sold · as of 2026-08-27 · paid links

$20.00Ungraded$23.00Ungraded$25.00Ungraded

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Paid link — as an eBay Partner, FVR earns from qualifying purchases. · Flagship = his most-traded card (the market’s reference); the rookie = the top card of his first card year. As of August 27, 2026 · trend is FVR's own nightly archive · prices via SportsCardsPro · what these terms mean

Scout’s note

Simpson's EV95 of 98.01 is nearly eight ticks below the league median of 105.9, yet he's hitting .308 with zero home runs and 35 stolen bases — third in baseball. The 0.0727 luck gap means his stat line is traveling further from his contact quality than what more than 99% of the 372 qualified hitters we track are managing, and he sits No. 4 on the fade board. He's 25, a compensatory-round pick out of the 2022 draft who reached the majors in April, and 233 games into a career built entirely on speed — 79 steals, a .301 average, not a single home run. At 5'11" and 170 pounds, he knows what he is: he's put the ball in play 430 times this season and struck out only 42. The engine doesn't argue with the speed or the eye; it argues with the average holding when the hardest contact is this soft.

Current signals

The read: Simpson's results are outrunning his contact by more than 99% of the 373 qualified MLB hitters we track — an EV95 of 98.0 (league median 105.8) doesn't usually buy this stat line. Gaps like his tend to close from above; No. 5 of 15 on the fade board.

PAID — his line has outrun his contact. Where he sits in the league →

EV95 (mph)

97.97

Luck gap (park-adj)

0.0704

Overlay score

-0.9177

WAR (season · MLB calc)

2.1

Balls in play

434

Sprint (ft/s)

29.5

Age

25

A market fact, not an engine read: what a club decided about him, on the season before this one. Figures from Cot’s, as of August 25, 2026.

2026 salary

$0.79Mest

Tax hit

$0.79M

Service time

0 yr 140 d

Options left

2 / 3

Regime read from his service time, not from the sheet — it does not project him past this season. Super Two eligibility is the top 22% of a class and can move this line in a way service time alone cannot see.

Cash and the tax hit are two different rulebooks and are never subtracted from one another — see the payroll board for his club, Tampa Bay Rays.

A second set of books

The same contract, read by MLB Spreadsheets (Ethan Hullihen), as of August 20, 2026. We keep two sources on this because one source cannot check itself.

Tax AAV

$0.79M

Guaranteed

$0.79M

Term

1 yr

His class

Pre-Arb

The tax AAV above is his number under the CBA’s own rulebook, not the average we work out from Cot’s total. On a contract with deferred money the two come apart on purpose — and neither is subtracted from the other.

Collect Chandler Simpson

If the signal is right, the cardboard usually finds out later. Current listings:

High-end listings ($75+) →

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Not financial advice. We take positions only after publication — never before. Misses stay on the record.

The Bureau on Chandler Simpson

The scouting press, in their own words