Nick Martinez

The card rack

FlagshipNick Martinez #444 · 2025 Topps Heritage · 38 recent sales 7N ▼0.1%

$1.50Raw$12.15PSA 9$35.53PSA 10$46.00BGS 10PSA 10 · 45 nights

Live on eBay now · asking, not sold · as of 2026-08-28 · paid links

$0.99Ungraded$1.50Ungraded$1.59Ungraded

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The rookieNick Martinez #US304 · 2014 Topps Update · 3 recent sales 7N ▲0%

$1.94Raw—PSA 9—PSA 10—BGS 10PSA 10 · 43 nights

Live on eBay now · asking, not sold · as of 2026-08-28 · paid links

$0.99Ungraded$1.00Ungraded$1.00Ungraded

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Paid link — as an eBay Partner, FVR earns from qualifying purchases. · Flagship = his most-traded card (the market’s reference); the rookie = the top card of his first card year. As of August 28, 2026 · trend is FVR's own nightly archive · prices via SportsCardsPro · what these terms mean

Scout’s note

Drafted out of Miami in the 18th round of 2011, Martinez is 36 now and still throwing — 147.2 innings, 87 strikeouts, a 2.93 ERA for Tampa Bay. The stuff model is stability-tested but not outcome-validated, so he's in the Index without a grade: no arm earns a flag from science that isn't done. The ERA-FIP luck gap did clear our bar, and that regression call is filed by hand — the page is here because a 36-year-old still pitching this much matters.

Current signals

The read: Martinez is in the Index ungraded, on purpose: our stuff model is stability-tested but not outcome-validated, so no big-league arm gets a board flag from it — not even one of the best seasons in the sport. (Calls are another matter: the ERA-FIP luck gap did clear the bar, and we file arm regression calls by hand from it.) The page is here because the player matters; the board grade waits for the science.

WAR (season · MLB calc)

2.5

A market fact, not an engine read: what a club decided about him, on the season before this one. Figures from Cot’s, as of August 25, 2026.

2026 salary

$9.00M

Tax hit

$13.00M

Service time

7 yr 2 d

Options left

0 / 3

Cash and the tax hit are two different rulebooks and are never subtracted from one another — see the payroll board for his club, Tampa Bay Rays.

A second set of books

The same contract, read by MLB Spreadsheets (Ethan Hullihen), as of August 20, 2026. We keep two sources on this because one source cannot check itself.

Tax AAV

$13.0M

Guaranteed

$13.0M

Term

1 yr

His class

FA

The tax AAV above is his number under the CBA’s own rulebook, not the average we work out from Cot’s total. On a contract with deferred money the two come apart on purpose — and neither is subtracted from the other.

Collect Nick Martinez

If the signal is right, the cardboard usually finds out later. Current listings:

High-end listings ($75+) →

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Not financial advice. We take positions only after publication — never before. Misses stay on the record.