MLB · SS · Miami Marlins
Otto Lopez
B/T R/R · 5' 10" · 185 lb · born Santo Domingo, Dominican Republic · age 28 · played SS 156, DH 1 · MLB debut 2021-08-17
689 plate appearances scored this season His season card →
The card rack
Paid link — as an eBay Partner, FVR earns from qualifying purchases.
FlagshipOtto Lopez [Gold] #194 · 2026 Topps · 36 recent sales 7N ▼0.2%
Live on eBay now · asking, not sold · as of 2026-10-11 · paid links
The rookieOtto Lopez #FA-OL · 2022 Topps Finest Autographs · 125 recent sales 7N ▲10.1%
Live on eBay now · asking, not sold · as of 2026-10-11 · paid links
Paid link — as an eBay Partner, FVR earns from qualifying purchases. · Flagship = his most-traded card (the market’s reference); the rookie = the top card of his first card year. As of October 11, 2026 · trend is FVR's own nightly archive · prices via SportsCardsPro · what these terms mean
Scout’s note
Otto Lopez has an EV95 of 106.38 — 59th percentile of 406 qualified MLB bats, with a luck gap of 0.0199. His .305 average this season is, by the physics, exactly what he earned. The 28-year-old from Santo Domingo debuted in 2021 and has 5.9 career WAR. This year in Miami: 157 games, 11 home runs, 71 RBI, 34 stolen bases, .305 average. He ranks fifth in the league in average and tenth in steals. The board has him at No. 287 on the breakout composite; it takes 20. He is priced right — the engine sees no gap to close, just a solid player being solid.
Note written · FVR scout (GLM-5.2)
We wrote about Lopez here — The Overnight: 2-for-3, 3B, BB, 2 HBP (September 9, 2026)
Current signals
The read: Lopez is tracked, not flagged: an EV95 of 106.4 (59th percentile of the 406 qualified MLB bats we track; median 105.8) with results within 0.020 of what the physics support — nothing owed, nothing borrowed. The boards hunt mispricing, and his price is right. He sits No. 287 of 406 on the breakout composite; the board takes 20.
SQUARE — the line and the bat agree. Where he sits in the league →
- EV95 (mph)
- 106.38
- Luck gap (park-adj)
- 0.0199
- Overlay score
- -0.089
- Age
- 28
Where he stands
throughAgainst the 406 qualified major-league hitters — 100+ balls in play this season, the same field the boards are chosen out of. Right is better on every row.
- EV95106.459
- Deserved (xVal)0.35641
- Got (aVal)0.36857
- Luck gap (park-adjusted)flipped0.02024
today · 30 days ago, against the 375 men who qualified then · the tick is the midpoint · the number at the right is the percentile, the number beside it the measurement itself.
What he’s paid
ArbitrationA market fact, not an engine read: what a club decided about him, on the season before this one. Figures from Cot’s, as of .
- 2026 salary
- $5.67M
- Tax hit
- $5.67M
- Service time
- 3 yr 109 d
- Options left
- 1 / 4
The deal A1
On the sheet: A1 · agent BSE Agency
After this season, as the sheet has it
| Season | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cash | Arb 2 | Arb 3 | Free agent |
| Tax hit | — | — | — |
Cash and the tax hit are two different rulebooks and are never subtracted from one another — see the payroll board for his club, Miami Marlins.
A second set of books
The same contract, read by MLB Spreadsheets (Ethan Hullihen), as of . We keep two sources on this because one source cannot check itself.
- Tax AAV
- $0.81M
- Guaranteed
- $0.81M
- Term
- 1 yr
- His class
- Pre-Arb
What the sheet prices each season at
| Season | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Salary | Minimum | Arb 1 | Arb 2 | Arb 3 |
A base salary under his own reading, and never subtracted from the cash figure above: a signing bonus lands in one and not the other, so the two disagree on most men without either being wrong. And the sheet does not mark which future seasons are GUARANTEED — a club option and a projected arbitration award are both just a number here, so read past the end of the deal as his forecast rather than as money owed.
Two sources, read a month apart, put this guarantee at the same dollar. That is the check, and it passed.
The tax AAV above is his number under the CBA’s own rulebook, not the average we work out from Cot’s total. On a contract with deferred money the two come apart on purpose — and neither is subtracted from the other.
Collect Otto Lopez
If the signal is right, the cardboard usually finds out later. Current listings:
Otto Lopez cards on eBay →Paid link — as an eBay Partner, FVR earns from qualifying purchases.
Not financial advice. We take positions only after publication — never before. Misses stay on the record.
The Bureau on Otto Lopez
The scouting press, in their own words
RBI triple for Heriberto Hernandez. Scores Otto Lopez. 6-3 Braves.
Otto Lopez RBI TRIPLE FIFTEEEN TO THIRTEEN
Umpire favor
-1.1 net runs over 70 graded games — the zone cost the umpire more than it gave, on balance.
The line
| Year | Team | Lvl | G | AB | R | H | HR | RBI | SB | BB | SO | AVG | OPS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | Toronto Blue Jays | MLB | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | .000 | .000 |
| 2022 | Toronto Blue Jays | MLB | 8 | 9 | 0 | 6 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | .667 | 1.367 |
| 2024 | Miami Marlins | MLB | 117 | 403 | 49 | 109 | 6 | 39 | 20 | 25 | 75 | .270 | .690 |
| 2025 | Miami Marlins | MLB | 143 | 544 | 66 | 134 | 15 | 77 | 15 | 44 | 82 | .246 | .673 |
| 2026 | Miami Marlins | MLB | 157 | 627 | 94 | 191 | 11 | 71 | 34 | 40 | 89 | .305 | .786 |
| MLB CAREER | 426 | 1584 | 209 | 440 | 32 | 190 | 69 | 110 | 248 | .278 | .726 | ||
Bio & season lines: MLB StatsAPI · refreshed nightly · abbreviations →