Fever BaseballFor collectors and stat nerdsFuture Value Radar (FVR) · On the record

MLB · SS · Miami Marlins

Otto Lopez

B/T R/R · 5' 10" · 185 lb · born Santo Domingo, Dominican Republic · age 27 · played SS 129, DH 1 · MLB debut 2021-08-17

Last 14 days (through 2026-08-27): 13 G · .245 AVG · 0 HR · 6 RBI · .581 OPS

567 plate appearances scored this season His season card →

INDEXThe Index — tracked, not flagged

The card rack

FlagshipOtto Lopez [Gold] #194 · 2026 Topps · 46 recent sales 7N 0%

$2.00Raw$13.10PSA 9$38.78PSA 10$50.00BGS 10PSA 10 · 46 nights

Live on eBay now · asking, not sold · as of 2026-08-27 · paid links

See all on eBay →

The rookieOtto Lopez #FA-OL · 2022 Topps Finest Autographs · 203 recent sales 7N 4.8%

$19.27Raw$32.37PSA 9$68.67PSA 10$89.00BGS 10PSA 10 · 42 nights

Live on eBay now · asking, not sold · as of 2026-08-27 · paid links

See all on eBay →

Paid link — as an eBay Partner, FVR earns from qualifying purchases. · Flagship = his most-traded card (the market’s reference); the rookie = the top card of his first card year. As of August 27, 2026 · trend is FVR's own nightly archive · prices via SportsCardsPro · what these terms mean

Scout’s note

Otto Lopez out of Santo Domingo has built a .306 season in Miami with 27 steals, fifth in batting and tenth in stolen bases across the league. The engine tracks his EV95 at 106.3 — 57th percentile, just north of the 105.9 median — and his results land within 0.0204 of what the contact physics support. He is 27, and the board sits him at 275 of 372, taking 20. The gap between his category leads and his board rank is the story: the engine sees a solid bat, not a breakout.

Current signals

The read: Lopez is tracked, not flagged: an EV95 of 106.3 (57th percentile of the 373 qualified MLB bats we track; median 105.8) with results within 0.019 of what the physics support — nothing owed, nothing borrowed. The boards hunt mispricing, and his price is right. He sits No. 274 of 373 on the breakout composite; the board takes 20.

SQUAREthe line and the bat agree. Where he sits in the league →

Age
27
The shape of the seasonEV95 104.2 106.1 mphweekly · trailing 75 balls in play · full-season EV95: 106.3 mph — the boards use the season figureEV95 is the top of his range, not the middle — the line can fall in the same weeks his typical contact rises.

Where he stands

through

Against the 373 qualified major-league hitters — 100+ balls in play this season, the same field the boards are chosen out of. Right is better on every row.

  1. EV95106.357
  2. Deserved (xVal)0.35838
  3. Got (aVal)0.36956
  4. Luck gap (park-adjusted)flipped0.01924

today · 30 days ago, against the 330 men who qualified then · the tick is the midpoint · the number at the right is the percentile, the number beside it the measurement itself.

A second set of books

The same contract, read by MLB Spreadsheets (Ethan Hullihen), as of . We keep two sources on this because one source cannot check itself.

Tax AAV
$0.81M
Term
1 yr
His class
Pre-Arb

What the sheet prices each season at

Season2026202720282029
SalaryMinimumArb 1Arb 2Arb 3

A base salary under his own reading, and never subtracted from the cash figure above: a signing bonus lands in one and not the other, so the two disagree on most men without either being wrong. And the sheet does not mark which future seasons are GUARANTEED — a club option and a projected arbitration award are both just a number here, so read past the end of the deal as his forecast rather than as money owed.

Two sources, read a month apart, put this guarantee at the same dollar. That is the check, and it passed.

The tax AAV above is his number under the CBA’s own rulebook, not the average we work out from Cot’s total. On a contract with deferred money the two come apart on purpose — and neither is subtracted from the other.

Collect Otto Lopez

If the signal is right, the cardboard usually finds out later. Current listings:

Otto Lopez cards on eBay →

High-end listings ($75+) →

Paid link — as an eBay Partner, FVR earns from qualifying purchases.

Not financial advice. We take positions only after publication — never before. Misses stay on the record.

The Bureau on Otto Lopez

The scouting press, in their own words

Otto Lopez singles home a pair. 2-0 Marlins. First time the Marlins have scored a run in the 1st inning since August 9th against the Angels.

Craig Mish · SportsGrid · August 22 · on X →

Otto Lopez singles home Sanoja. Nats pen gives it up. Miami on top now 2-1.

Craig Mish · SportsGrid · August 21 · on X →

Umpire favor

-0.6 net runs over 52 graded gamesthe zone cost him more than it gave, on balance.

Biggest swings: +0.3 · -0.2

→ all umpire grades

The line

YearTeamLvlGABRHHRRBISBBBSOAVGOPS
2021Toronto Blue JaysMLB110000001.000.000
2022Toronto Blue JaysMLB890603011.6671.367
2024Miami MarlinsMLB11740349109639202575.270.690
2025Miami MarlinsMLB143544661341577154482.246.673
2026Miami MarlinsMLB13052079160959293071.308.787
MLB CAREER39914771944093017864100230.277.722

Bio & season lines: MLB StatsAPI · refreshed nightly · abbreviations →