Fever BaseballFor collectors and stat nerdsFuture Value Radar (FVR) · On the record

AAA · RF · Miami Marlins

Owen Caissie

B/T L/R · 6' 4" · 190 lb · born Burlington, ON, Canada · age 24 · draft 2020 rd 2 · played RF 81, DH 17 · MLB debut 2025-08-14

Last 14 days (through 2026-08-28): 8 G · .182 AVG · 0 HR · 0 RBI · .553 OPS

310 plate appearances scored this season His season card →

INDEXThe Index — tracked, not flagged

The card rack

FlagshipOwen Caissie #SMLB-36 · 2026 Topps Series 2 Stars Of MLB · 131 recent sales 7N 0.2%

$0.99Raw$11.57PSA 9$34.60PSA 10$45.00BGS 10PSA 10 · 45 nights

Live on eBay now · asking, not sold · as of 2026-08-28 · paid links

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The rookieOwen Caissie #MF-4 · 2026 Bowman Mega Futures · 195 recent sales 7N 5%

$3.41Raw$17.67PSA 9$52.39PSA 10$68.00BGS 10PSA 10 · 43 nights

Live on eBay now · asking, not sold · as of 2026-08-28 · paid links

See all on eBay →

Paid link — as an eBay Partner, FVR earns from qualifying purchases. · Flagship = his most-traded card (the market’s reference); the rookie = the top card of his first card year. As of August 28, 2026 · trend is FVR's own nightly archive · prices via SportsCardsPro · what these terms mean

Scout’s note

Burlington, Ontario's Caissie was a 2020 second-round pick who debuted last August at 23 and has 96 games for Miami this season. His EV95 of 109.12 sits 88th-percentile of the 372 qualified bats we track — well north of the 105.9 median — and his luck gap of 0.0064 means the .228 average is almost exactly what the contact supports. He ranks No. 154 of 372 on the breakout composite; the board takes 20, so no flag. Thirteen home runs say the power is real; the average is honest.

Current signals

The read: Caissie is tracked, not flagged: an EV95 of 109.1 (88th percentile of the 375 qualified MLB bats we track; median 105.8) with results within 0.001 of what the physics support — nothing owed, nothing borrowed. The boards hunt mispricing, and his price is right. He sits No. 138 of 375 on the breakout composite; the board takes 20.

Age
24
The shape of the seasonEV95 111.5 108.8 mphweekly · trailing 75 balls in play · full-season EV95: 109.1 mph — the boards use the season figureEV95 is the top of his range, not the middle — the line can fall in the same weeks his typical contact rises.

Where he stands

through

Against the 375 qualified major-league hitters — 100+ balls in play this season, the same field the boards are chosen out of. Right is better on every row.

  1. EV95109.188
  2. Deserved (xVal)0.46293
  3. Got (aVal)0.45594
  4. Luck gap (park-adjusted)flipped0.00142

today · 30 days ago, against the 330 men who qualified then · the tick is the midpoint · the number at the right is the percentile, the number beside it the measurement itself.

A second set of books

The same contract, read by MLB Spreadsheets (Ethan Hullihen), as of . We keep two sources on this because one source cannot check itself.

Tax AAV
$0.78M
Term
1 yr
His class
Pre-Arb

What the sheet prices each season at

Season202620272028202920302031
SalaryMinimumMinimumMinimumArb 1Arb 2Arb 3

A base salary under his own reading, and never subtracted from the cash figure above: a signing bonus lands in one and not the other, so the two disagree on most men without either being wrong. And the sheet does not mark which future seasons are GUARANTEED — a club option and a projected arbitration award are both just a number here, so read past the end of the deal as his forecast rather than as money owed.

Two sources, read a month apart, put this guarantee at the same dollar. That is the check, and it passed.

The tax AAV above is his number under the CBA’s own rulebook, not the average we work out from Cot’s total. On a contract with deferred money the two come apart on purpose — and neither is subtracted from the other.

Collect Owen Caissie

If the signal is right, the cardboard usually finds out later. Current listings:

Owen Caissie cards on eBay →

High-end listings ($75+) →

Paid link — as an eBay Partner, FVR earns from qualifying purchases.

Not financial advice. We take positions only after publication — never before. Misses stay on the record.

The Bureau on Owen Caissie

The scouting press, in their own words

The Marlins insistence on platooning their left-handed bats even against reverse splits lefty starters is interesting. Lefties vs. Nick Lodolo since the start of last year are slashing .301/.370/.435, yet Conine, Caissie, Mack (I get off day for C), Pauley all on bench. https://t.co/fga8GuHusf

Aram Leighton · Just Baseball · August 16 · on X →

Owen Caissie homers. No shutout today ! 13-1.

Craig Mish · SportsGrid · August 13 · on X →

Umpire favor

+0.1 net runs over 28 graded gamesan even shake from the zone this season.

Biggest swings: +0.7 · +0.6

→ all umpire grades

The line

YearTeamLvlGABRHHRRBISBBBSOAVGOPS
2021Myrtle Beach PelicansA227315171901628.233.696
2022South Bend CubsA+105378579611581150124.254.751
2023Tennessee SmokiesAA120439771272284776164.289.917
2024Iowa CubsAAA1274726913119751171156.278.847
2025Iowa CubsAAA99370741062255557121.286.937
2025Chicago CubsMLB122645140111.192.568
2026Jacksonville Jumbo ShrimpAAA373323054.4291.978
2026Miami MarlinsMLB9726739601352523112.225.712
MLB CAREER10929343651456524123.222.700

Bio & season lines: MLB StatsAPI · refreshed nightly · abbreviations →