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Blue Notes · Umpire Grade2026-03-29

MIN @ BAL

Home plate: Chris Segal

“The players kept asking for a second opinion — and kept getting one.”

D
Umpire Grade
88.8% accurate
0.7
Run Favor
runs, MIN
7
ABS Overturns
of 10 reviewed

What this shows — how Chris Segal called the 170 pitches that were taken (no swing), graded against the tracked rulebook strike zone. He got 151 right. Below, only his misses are plotted, alongside every pitch the ABS (Automated Ball-Strike System) reviewed on a challenge.

The zone, as he called it

Challenge 1: Byron Buxton — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled strike (upheld — ump confirmed).1Challenge 2: Victor Caratini — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled strike (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).2Challenge 3: Victor Caratini — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled strike (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).3Challenge 4: Samuel Basallo — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled strike (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).4Challenge 5: Samuel Basallo — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled ball (upheld — ump confirmed).5Challenge 6: Samuel Basallo — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled strike (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).6Challenge 7: Matt Wallner — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled strike (upheld — ump confirmed).7Challenge 8: Pete Alonso — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled ball (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).8Challenge 9: Adley Rutschman — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled strike (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).9Challenge 10: Ryan Helsley — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled strike (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).10
strike called ballball called strikeABS overturnedABS upheld

The calls that moved the game

  1. 1+0.69▼5 · 3-2 strike called ball· challenged ✓
    Taylor Ward vs Mick Abel
  2. 2+0.69▲9 · 3-2 strike called ball· challenged ✓
    Josh Bell vs Ryan Helsley
  3. 3+0.39▲1 · 2-2 strike called ball
    Byron Buxton vs Shane Baz

Run impact from the count run-value table: a missed strike three is worth far more than one on 3-0.

ABS — the Automated Ball-Strike System

10 pitches went to the robots · 7 overturned (ump overruled) · 3 upheld (ump confirmed). This is the ABS system’s own measurement — Hawk-Eye optical ball-tracking, not our model.

  1. 1Byron Buxton — ump said strike, robot ruled strike: upheld.
  2. 2Victor Caratini — ump said ball, robot ruled strike: overturned.
  3. 3Victor Caratini — ump said ball, robot ruled strike: overturned.
  4. 4Samuel Basallo — ump said ball, robot ruled strike: overturned.
  5. 5Samuel Basallo — ump said ball, robot ruled ball: upheld.
  6. 6Samuel Basallo — ump said ball, robot ruled strike: overturned.
  7. 7Matt Wallner — ump said strike, robot ruled strike: upheld.
  8. 8Pete Alonso — ump said strike, robot ruled ball: overturned.
  9. 9Adley Rutschman — ump said ball, robot ruled strike: overturned.
  10. 10Ryan Helsley — ump said ball, robot ruled strike: overturned.

Our tracked-rulebook zone matched the ABS ruling on 9 of 10 — a zone-definition gap (ABS grades a standardized, height-based zone), not our error.

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